Return to solar terms
With the arrival of the long summer solar term, the northern and southern regions of China will also enter the stage of high temperature and rainy. However, in the pig market in China, the price of pigs will usher in a "cold spring"! Previously, after mid-April, the price of pigs bottomed out and the price of live pigs rose. Many farmers think that spring is coming, the pig price can quickly rise above the fattening cost line, and farmers can get rid of the embarrassing situation of slaughter losses. However, after May Day, the price of pigs was quietly "cold". What happened to the market? Is the price of pigs going to fall off a cliff? Today we will analyze it in detail!
According to the data, affected by the market supply and demand game, the domestic average price of live pigs fell to about 7.4 yuan/kg, and the pig price fluctuated and fell, showing a continuous downward trend. In the domestic north and south markets, pig prices generally fell. Among them, the price of pigs in the northern market was sideways in the "7 yuan era", the price of pigs in the northeast was stable in 7 yuan/kg, while the price of pigs in some markets in North China reached 7.5 yuan/kg. However, the market generally has 0.65433.
In the southern market, the price of pigs is also stable in the "7 yuan era". However, in some high-priced areas, such as Zhejiang, Fujian, Guangxi, Hunan and Shanghai, the source of high-priced pigs hovered around 7.5~7.9 yuan/kg, and the market generally fell by 0. 1~0.2 yuan/kg. The prices of Guangdong, Guangxi and Guangdong are hovering in the "8 yuan era", and the market still has an obvious downward trend!
Nowadays, in the long summer season, the price of pigs is against the "cold spring"! What happened in the market? Personally, on the one hand, after mid-April, the price of pigs rose too fast, and the average price of pigs rose from "6 prefix" to "7 prefix". In a short period of time, the pig price rose by nearly 23%, while the pig price rose too fast. The enthusiasm of retail pig farms in the market was obviously not high, and farmers appeared to "catch up". However, with the May Day holiday, consumption constraints have become more prominent, farmers' feelings of saving their bags for safety have become stronger, and pigs in the market have become stronger.
On the other hand, before the pig price rose sharply, the purchase cost of pigs in domestic slaughterhouses increased sharply, and the ex-factory price of white pigs also rose sharply. However, the market has poor acceptance of high-priced white pigs, and the downstream traders are in a downturn, and the terminal market has slowed down significantly. The surplus of white pigs in the wholesale market has increased, the loss pressure of slaughterhouses has increased sharply, the purchasing enthusiasm has weakened, and the price reduction sentiment has gradually increased!
Therefore, based on the stage, the mood of pig slaughter is getting stronger, the pork consumption performance in the market is not good, the domestic pig price is quietly "cold", and the market is briefly ushered in "cold spring"! So, will the pig price fall off the cliff?
Personally, judging from the decline of pig prices in the last two days, the general decline of pig prices in the market is only 0. 1~0.2 yuan/kg, which only appears in areas where pig prices have risen too fast before, and the decline of pig prices in Guangdong and Guangxi markets is more obvious, which also means that the bottom support of the market is still relatively strong. Although the supply of live pigs has increased, the pace of slaughter of large pig enterprises has accelerated, and the support of the consumer market is insufficient, retail pig farms are still the key to the market. The mood of retail pig farms limits the downward space of pig prices. After all, the loss period of farmers' bitter pigs is too long, and the mood of raising prices is still obvious. After entering the middle and late May, the domestic pig slaughter quantity will gradually decrease, and the pressure of pig slaughter in the market will gradually weaken. Therefore, the individual predicts that the pig price is still in a sideways stage at the bottom. In the short term, the downward space of pig prices is limited, and it is difficult for pig prices to fall off a cliff and return to "5"
With the arrival of the long summer solar term, the price of pigs is "cold in spring". What happened? Want to fall off a cliff? What do you think of this? The above is for reference only, the content is original, and it is forbidden to reprint without authorization!