Price reduction warning! On October 25th, the price of pigs "fell to the sky", while the prices of corn, sheep and eggs "rose".
so what are the prices of various agricultural products at present? How to develop the market outlook? Today, let's focus on the "four varieties" of pigs, eggs, corn and sheep:
1. The price of pigs has fallen like a bamboo. < P > Although the price of pigs has risen well this month, on the whole, it fluctuated at a high level of 13.5-14.1 yuan/kg, and the profit-making effect of pig farmers is also considerable.
However, in recent days, the pig price has gone up and down, and the pig price has once again returned to below 14 yuan/Jin.
On October 25th, the price of live pigs in China fell across the board, which was green.
Except Hainan, all the other provinces fell, among which the top provinces were: Jiangsu, which fell 4 cents, 13.8-14.1 yuan/kg; Shanxi fell 4 hairs, 13.4-13.8 yuan/kg; Anhui fell .35 yuan, 13.75-14.1 yuan/kg; Shanghai fell 3 hairs, 14.3-14.6 yuan/kg; Beijing and Tianjin fell 3 hairs, 13.9-14.1 yuan/kg; Liaoning fell 3 hairs, 13.35-13.6 yuan/kg; Other provinces generally fell by 1-2 gross.
In recent days, the price of pigs has dropped for many reasons. To sum up, there are three points:
First, the regulation and control factors of relevant departments have recently increased the supply of pork in the market, which still has a certain stabilizing effect on the price of pigs.
Second, the farmers are willing to go up in slaughter. In recent days, when the pig price rises to about 14 yuan/kg, the breeding profit is as high as 1,1-1,3 yuan/pig, and many farmers are scrambling to slaughter, leaving their bags in safety, which increases the supply pressure.
Third, the difficulty of consumption has risen sharply. As we all know, after entering October, the price of pigs has gone up, and pork has gone up, saying that it has an impact on him. However, the price of pigs has not dropped or less, which has led to a sharp rise in the price of meat. At present, the retail price of mainstream pork in China is 2-24 yuan/kg (local in Suiling, Heilongjiang, pork has also risen to 23 yuan's kg, pork ribs have reached 26 yuan/kg, and pork belly has 23 yuan/kg), a lot.
The monitoring of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs shows that as of 14: today, the average price of pork in the national agricultural products wholesale market was 35.69 yuan/kg, up .1% from last Friday; Beef was 77.72 yuan/kg, down 1.% from last Friday; Mutton was 67.76 yuan/kg, down .1% from last Friday.
With regard to the market outlook, under the background of normal pig production capacity and peak consumption season, I personally think that the pig price is likely to be a volatile market, but it is difficult to rise sharply. Before the Spring Festival, the pig price of 15 yuan/kg should be a "ceiling" that is difficult to break through.
2. Eggs rise again
After a correction some time ago, the egg market has once again ushered in an upward trend in recent days. As of today, the official monitoring quotation: 12.6 yuan/kg of eggs, that is, 1.6% higher than last Friday.
In today's national egg market, egg prices are once again rising in many places. Among them, there is a general increase in Beijing, and there are general increases in Huilongguan, Wangsiying, Laiguangying, Yuegezhuang, Shunyi Shimen, Tongzhou, Pinggu, Yanqing and other places, with the price of 28 yuan /44 kg;
Tianjin rose in many places, and 4 yuan rose in Jixian, Baodi, Wuqing and Ninghe, with a price of 269 yuan /45 kg;
Aohan, Chifeng and other places in Inner Mongolia rose by 6 yuan, offering 272 yuan /45 kg;
Shanghai has risen in many places, and the price of eggs in Pudong, Shanghai Alliance, Xinghua Association and Puxi has generally increased in 5 yuan, at 173 yuan/27.5kg;
The price of eggs in Shandong has risen in a large area, with Weifang Changle Wholesale and Qingdao Liwei Wholesale rising by 1 yuan, 263 yuan /45 kg and 192 yuan /3 kg; Weifang, Qingzhou, Anqiu, Zhucheng, Gaomi and other places generally rose by .15 yuan, and the price was 6.15 yuan/kg; Qingdao Egg Merchants Alliance rose .15 yuan and quoted 6.5 yuan/kg.
Ruzhou, Fengqiu, Yuanyang and other places in Henan have generally increased by 1 hair, and the household price is 6. yuan/kg; Pingliang and Jingchuan in Gansu increased by 2 hairs and 6.2 yuan/kg.
On the whole, the price of eggs has rebounded in a large area today, and the bullish voice of the market has sounded again.
industry analysis reasons: first, the normal shock and rebound in the process of falling back, if it falls too much, it will definitely rebound a little, so there is no need to over-interpret it.
second, actually speaking, the price of eggs is more than 6 yuan, even a catty in 7 yuan, which really makes ordinary people feel overwhelmed, but it has dropped a little some time ago, and consumption has increased, which has also driven the price of eggs.
Third, the weather factor. As winter is about to enter, the weather turns cold, and the laying rate of laying hens decreases, resulting in insufficient production capacity. Combined with many factors such as rising feed costs and poor transportation, it has a certain supporting effect on egg prices.
regarding the market outlook, I feel that it is difficult for the egg price to rise sharply in the remaining two months, because the egg price is still not low at present, and in addition to the traditional off-season, the egg price will probably fall back to 4.5-5.5 yuan.
3. The sound of corn rising again
It is in the peak season when a large number of corn are harvested and listed in the north. It is rare for corn prices to rise, and the rising trend is obviously stronger than that in the past few days. At present, it is a pattern of general increase in the north and south.
Today, many enterprises in Shandong, North China and Northeast China are on the rise.
Three enterprises in Heilongjiang rose: Suihua Haotian rose by 1. points, dry grain was 1.275 yuan/kg, and 3% wet grain was 1.3 yuan/kg; New and synthetic organisms rose by 1. points, and dry food was 1.275 yuan/kg; Tidal grain 1.3 yuan/kg; Xiang Yu in Bei 'an rose by 1 point, and 3% tidal grain was 1.3 yuan/kg.
One in Inner Mongolia rose: Bashan starch rose by 2 points, and the price was 1.375 yuan/kg.
Enterprises in Hebei Province rose 2 times and fell 2 times: Shijiazhuang Derui starch rose 1 point, 1.415 yuan/kg; Xingtai Guangyu starch rose by 1 point, 1.42 yuan/kg; Qinhuangdao Pengyuan fell 1.5 points, 1.335 yuan/kg; Li Hua raw materials fell by 1 point, 1.35 yuan/kg.
Nine enterprises in Shandong rose: Weifang Shengtai Pharmaceutical rose by .5 points, with a price of 1.42 yuan/kg; Yingxuan Industry rose .5 points to 1.495 yuan/kg; Shouguang Chenming rose .5 points and quoted 1.42 yuan/kg; Tianli Pharmaceutical rose .5 points to 1.41 yuan/kg; Shouguang golden corn rose .5 points, 1.41 yuan/kg; Linqing golden corn rose .5 points, 1.398 yuan/kg; Yucheng Baolingbao rose .5 points, 1.41 yuan/kg; Pingyuan Fuyang rose .3 points, 1.425 yuan/kg; Hengren Industry and Trade rose 1 point, 1.47 yuan/kg.
Recently, the price of corn has risen, which is caused by domestic supply and demand factors, the contradiction between international food supply and demand factors, and the psychological changes of market participants.
Specifically, there are three points:
First, the market is bullish, and some grain sellers have high expectations for corn prices in the future, so there is a certain reluctance to sell.
traders' willingness to build warehouses has increased, and their purchasing enthusiasm has increased.
Second, the international food crisis is still worsening, and the international food price is also expected to rise. At present, the duty-paid price of imported corn in southern ports has reached 1.7 yuan/kg, and the corn banks in many countries are low, and centralized procurement. In addition, due to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the drought in summer and autumn, the demand for corn imports in 27 countries has increased, which will directly support and pull the future corn prices in China.
Third, the feed price has risen recently, with an average increase of 75-2 yuan/ton, which is also a substantial positive for the corn price.
regarding the market outlook, personally, I think that the peak of corn market volume is coming, and there is a logic that corn will be weak in the short term. However, considering many favorable factors mentioned above, the market outlook of corn is still worth looking forward to, and the average price of 1.5 yuan/kg will appear with a high probability.
4, the sheep market ushered in a turning point
From the beginning of the year to now, the price of sheep has been fluctuating downward and hovering at a low level for nearly 1 months. However, in recent two days, netizens from all over the country have reported that the price of sheep has turned around, and the price of sheep has risen in some areas.
The latest price of sheep shows that the price of various breeds of sheep in Tangxian county, Hebei province has increased by 3 cents to 4 cents, including 13.2-13.5 yuan/kg for Han sheep skewers, 13.6-14.5 yuan/kg for Xinmin sheep skewers and 13.5-14.2 yuan/kg for fine-wool sheep skewers.
65 yuan, a 3 kg sheep seedling male in Chengde, Hebei; Duhangong fattened in Zhenping, Henan, weighing more than 13 kg, 15. yuan/kg; 14 yuan/Jin of fattening sheep in Zhoukou.
Shandong Yanwo fine-wool sheep skewer is 13.5-13.8 yuan/kg, and Xinmin sheep is 14.2-14.8 yuan/kg; Laiyang Duhan skewer fattening sheep 15. yuan/kg;
The price of lambs in Hohhot, Inner Mongolia has increased, including 85 lambs of 35kg each! 7 lambs each.
The price of lambs in some areas of Heilongjiang has increased, including 3 kg male lambs, 65-75 yuan/lamb.
Xinmin sheep ram in Shenyang, Liaoning weighs 3 kg, and 7 yuan/ram.
From the price of sheep, the price of sheep has improved in recent days. On the whole, the price of adult sheep has increased slightly, the price of lambs has increased slightly, and the price of a lamb has increased by about 5-1 yuan. This should be a good phenomenon, indicating that the market expects the price of sheep to rise in the future. However, according to multi-factor analysis, the short-term price increase is difficult to sustain and does not have the logic of a big increase.
regarding the market outlook, industry insiders analyzed that the recent increase in the price of sheep was mainly due to the following reasons: First, the weather turned cold and the seasonal consumption season came, which supported the price of sheep.
Second, although some farmers have left the market in recent years, some old farmers have seen business opportunities and expected an increase in the market outlook, and have already made up for it.
Dear friends, the prices of pigs, eggs and sheep have all increased to varying degrees recently. What are the prices of pork, eggs and mutton in your place? Welcome to share it with netizens all over the country for your reference.