What's the percentage of this weather forecast?
This kind of weather forecast using probability has been used since 1966 in the United States, 1980 in Japan and 1995 in China. There is also a more elusive word-precipitation probability is often mentioned. Forecasters often broadcast on TV that the probability of precipitation today is 70%. This precipitation probability means that the probability of rain in a certain area is 70%.
Extended data
Forecasters predict the percentage of precipitation opportunities in a certain area and a certain period of time through sorting, analysis, judgment and discussion based on various meteorological data. This is only the "probability" of forecasting precipitation, and it cannot guarantee 100%.
In the next 36 hours (every 12 hours 1 period), there will be precipitation opportunities above 0. 1 cm in three periods, regardless of precipitation time and region.
When arranging activities, it will not rain, and make proper preparations for rain; The probability of forecasting precipitation is 60%, and the activities are mainly rainy, supplemented by no rain; The probability of forecasting precipitation is 80%, so be prepared for rain.