What is the probability that Iceland will see the aurora in October?

The probability of watching the aurora in Iceland in October varies with many factors, including weather, geographical location, solar activity and so on. However, you can still enjoy the beautiful aurora in this season. The following are some suggestions from three aspects: travel arrangement, transportation mode and accommodation:

1. Travel arrangement:

* Choose an appropriate date: from October 16th, you can usually choose to leave at 7: 3 or 8: 3 in the evening. Because at this time, the sky is not completely dark, you can better appreciate the beauty of the aurora.

* Activity time: Considering that the night at the end of October is as long as 16 hours, you can start your aurora tour after sunset (17:15-18:55). The later the date, the longer the night, and the greater the chance of seeing the aurora.

2. Mode of transportation:

* Rent a reliable car: The weather in Iceland is changeable in October, and the roads may be covered with snow, so a reliable car is essential. It is best to choose a four-wheel drive vehicle to ensure safe driving on complex terrain in Iceland.

* charter service of travel agency: If you are not familiar with the weather and road conditions in Iceland, or you don't like driving by yourself, you can consider joining the charter service of travel agency. They will have experienced drivers and tour guides who can provide you with better service and guidance.

3. Accommodation:

* Choose accommodation near the Aurora viewing point: In order to facilitate viewing the Aurora, you can choose accommodation near the Aurora viewing point. For example, choose hotels near northern or eastern Iceland, which are closer to areas where aurora often appears.

* consider the comfort and safety of accommodation: it is very important to choose a warm and safe accommodation in the cold weather in Iceland. Choose hotels or homestays with good warm-keeping facilities, and confirm whether there is enough heating and modern facilities.

Generally speaking, although the probability of viewing the aurora in Iceland in October is not as high as in other seasons, it is still possible to see beautiful aurora. By carefully arranging the itinerary, choosing the appropriate time and transportation mode, and choosing accommodation near the aurora viewing point, you will be able to maximize the chances of seeing the aurora.