Free life calculation, enter the name to calculate life.
In order to fight against the doomed fate, the protagonist in the novel has tried to uninstall software, change mobile phones, delete codes, and even sacrificed his life to seek a long life.
But the "countdown to life", which seems to only appear in the world, is now really meeting us in the form of science. Last week, scientists from Canada's health computing research group Project Big Life officially released and launched a life calculator for some elderly people, which can highly accurately predict the death probability of the elderly within six months.
However, the launch of this life calculator is not to encourage people to fight against their fate as in school, but to hope that the elderly and their relatives can use this tool to better plan their lives and help people spend the rest of their lives with high quality.
The accuracy of forecasting tools based on big data is as high as 98%.
The research team of Big Life Project consists of members from Ottawa Hospital, Bruyel Institute, University of Ottawa and other institutions. This work was funded by the Canadian Institute of Health Research (ICES), and the research results were published in the Journal of the Canadian Medical Association.
To put it simply, unlike the life calculators that we often see on the Internet, this prediction tool named "Respect" was pioneered by and scientifically verified.
The full name of "respect" is "supporting risk assessment: a prediction tool for community elderly life". This tool is based on data and verification of home care in Ontario. Researchers used more than 6.5438+0.3 million home care evaluation data, and studied 80,000 death cases in the seven years from 2007 to 2022.
Finally, combined with nearly 400 measured values in the evaluation data, and clinical evaluation factors including physical function, cognitive impairment, demographic factors, biological diseases and self-reported health indicators, the index system was designed and achieved high accuracy. Its verification research data shows that in the sample cases where the life expectancy predicted by this system is only half a year, 95% of the elderly will really leave within half a year. If it is a high-risk group, the accuracy rate can reach 98.2%.
At present, this tool has been launched to the public and piloted in communities in Ontario, Canada. The research team hopes that community doctors and nurses can use this tool to understand the services that patients may need at different stages so as to plan ahead.
Who can use it and how?
It should be noted that at present, the tool is mainly suitable for the elderly over 50 years old, but not for those who have been hospitalized for a long time and have received nursing home care. Because the data in the large database of the exclusive system are mainly elderly people who live at home after retirement and have a certain medical history, the change of living environment and way will lead to a decline in accuracy.
The whole evaluation is simple. The tester can be himself, his family or medical staff to test the patient. At the beginning of the test, the average person will be told that their survival time is within 5 years. The system has set up 17 questions related to health history and daily living ability. After answering the questions for a few minutes, you can predict the life span of the subjects.
The question design is divided into three parts: first, the basic situation of the elderly, including age, gender and past medical history; The second is the self-care situation of the elderly; The third is the treatment of diseases of the elderly, including whether they are receiving radiotherapy and chemotherapy. Among them, you will also be asked about your decision-making ability, such as whether you have unplanned weight loss, loss of appetite, lack of exercise, etc. Because researchers have found that the decline of a person's daily behavior ability can predict the probability of death within six months better than the disease he suffers from.
After you answer some questions, a life prediction column will appear on the right, showing the average remaining life of the elderly who give the same answer. The number will vary from a few weeks to five years according to the answer you give, and the risk of death of patients will be divided into low, medium, high or very high.
After answering all the questions, the system will give a final prediction result, showing the predicted life based on big data and the death risk of 1, 3 and 5 years. It is suggested that the predicted results should be used to communicate with relatives, nurses and doctors and plan the next life and treatment plan.
In addition to this newly released end-of-life calculator, the research team of Project Big Life, composed of researchers, clinicians and data scientists, has also introduced life prediction tools based on living habits, risk prediction tools for heart and stroke, and risk prediction tools for Alzheimer's disease.
Should the "countdown to life" exist?
According to the end-of-life calculator released this time, the big life team believes that the "respect" system can help people decide what treatment to receive and where to receive it, thus maximizing the quality of the remaining life.
In fact, in each of our lives, death is something we don't want to face but have to face. When relatives and friends are seriously ill, maybe everyone wants to use everything to treat them and try to make each other's life better. However, we often ignore the great pain that patients and people around us have to bear in this process, and miss the good time that we may be together in the end.
RESPECT's team said that according to a large number of surveys they had done before, most of the respondents wanted to spend their last time in peace with their relatives and friends in their own homes, rather than leaving the hospital alone in pain.
Therefore, the research team hopes that through this calculator, people will gradually face up to death, and their families will cherish every minute of the last journey of the subjects' lives, plan ahead and minimize some regrets.
"The test results may help families make better plans in advance. For example, children can plan in advance when to spend their holidays with their parents, or plan to spend the last family holiday together. " Dr Amy Xu, a researcher at the Bruyel Institute and the University of Ottawa, said in an interview.
In addition, the system is currently cooperating with Canadian family health care and integrating a number of medical electronic medical records, aiming at providing reference for family care and program formulation, and introducing it into the hospice care plan.
But this countdown to life has also caused a lot of controversy.
First of all, although scientific predictions can be made based on big data, such predictions cannot be guaranteed to be 100% accurate. When the tester, family members or medical staff are guided by the test data, will it lead to the emergence of negative treatment to some extent, thus wasting the tester's precious "life hope"?
Many people believe that this kind of hospice care, which seems to give the elderly the right to choose, actually deprives the elderly of their confidence to continue their lives to some extent.
Imagine, if you know that you still have a few months to live after the test, and the system tells you that their test accuracy has reached 98%, you just want to "lie flat", give up the painful treatment and wait for arrival. But if the system suddenly informs you soon, I'm sorry, there was a Bug the other day. In fact, you still have several years to live, but by this time you may have missed a better treatment time and regretted it.
This discussion seems to have returned to the question of who is superior to science and technology or human beings. Should we believe in the countdown to life brought by big data and arrange the rest of our lives calmly, or should we believe that fate is always in our own hands and we must fight to the last moment of our lives anyway?
When technology provides a prediction tool, will you be willing to take off the veil of death and know in advance when your life will come to an end? Welcome to leave a message for discussion.
Finally, friends who are interested in life prediction tools can also visit its publications:
https://www.respect.projectbiglife.ca/
The above is to calculate your life span for free, and it is about the sharing of big data. Look at the input name to calculate the length of life, I hope this will help everyone!