A futures expert’s medium and long-term experience

To really stay in the futures market, it can be said to be complicated or simple, because as long as you grasp the following points and persevere, it will be difficult not to win.

First, always only look at the weekly and daily lines, and don’t look at the cycles below the daily lines (do the midline);

Second, only use moving averages, trend lines, and neck lines. , false swings, retracements, and ignore anything else; third, the total position should not exceed 50%, and the single (commodity) position should not exceed 30%; fourth, try to open a position, stop loss if wrong, add position if right .

One more point: It is better to trade in the original direction and only be trapped once, than to grab a small rebound and be trapped again and again. Special is the current bean. To open a position, you only need to follow the trend + retracement. Don't worry about the price.

In fact, it is not difficult to find a good opportunity in futures trading, but the difficulty lies in making good use of the opportunity. I think I built the position correctly, but I can’t hold it. The reasons are as follows:

First, the position is too big, and I can’t resist any fluctuations, so I have to run away;

< p>The second is that there is no advantage at the opening point, and the position encountered a rebound just after the position was opened, and was squeezed out; the third is that there is no basis for closing the position, and the market is read every day, and one runs in and out emotionally; the fourth is that the direction cannot be seen. , in and out as a matter of course.

I suggest that you only keep four moving averages on the 300-day, 150-day, 75-day, and 30-day moving averages on your chart, and always only trade in the direction of the 30-day and 75-day moving averages. As long as the direction of the moving average is clear, a position will be opened when the price is close to the 30-day and 75-day moving averages, and the position will not be closed until the trend line and neckline of each band fall below; the position will always be less than 30%; only when the trend line, neck line, and moving average are three After the two are broken through and confirmed at the same time, then change the direction of the transaction. In addition, position opening should be carried out in batches. If you make a mistake, you should run away immediately. If you make a mistake, you will increase the position gradually. Hold the position patiently until the price breaks through the trend line and neckline before closing the position. Also, never care about fundamentals and price levels, just trade with the trend.

I will give you a formula. If you understand it thoroughly, you will definitely make a lot of money: Investment profit and loss = opportunity success rate × opportunity position rate × position profit and loss rate.

An explanation: You must always ensure that your success rate when entering the market is greater than 50%, then you must follow the trend + retracement to build a position; you must ensure that the position when making money is greater than the position when losing money. Then you must make money to increase your position, and you must never increase your position if you lose money; you must ensure that the extent of making money is greater than the extent of losing money, then you must ensure that you can stop losses in time and let profits run.