202 1 Spring Festival travel rush Peak Yantai Peak Time and Congestion Road Section
202 1 "Spring Festival travel rush Boom" is about to start, from1October 28th to March 8th, with a duration of 40 days, 65438+.
February 1 1 to 17 is the "Spring Festival", and February 1 1 (New Year's Eve) to February 17 (sixth day) has a holiday of 7 days.
Affected by the epidemic prevention and control this year, the road traffic situation changed greatly during the "Spring Festival travel rush Peak". During this period, people's activities such as shopping and leisure, visiting relatives and friends, and short-distance travel in the city will increase significantly than usual, and the traffic pressure on some sections will increase significantly during this period.
Yantai traffic police analyzed the traffic safety situation in Spring Festival travel rush this year in combination with the characteristics of the road traffic safety situation during the "Spring Festival travel rush Peak" in previous years:
Analysis of road traffic factors during Spring Festival travel rush (I) Analysis of mass travel characteristics
According to the CDC, the epidemic situation in COVID-19 is still high abroad, and it is sporadic in China. By June 25th, 65438, there were 6 high-risk epidemic areas and 62 medium-risk epidemic areas in China, and the epidemic prevention situation was still complicated and severe. Judging from the data analysis of major platforms at present, the travel radius, travel modes and main destinations of the peak crowd in Spring Festival travel rush this year will present the following characteristics:
1, the willingness to travel in the city has been greatly improved. During the rush hour in Spring Festival travel rush, especially during the Spring Festival, people's willingness to go to street markets, rural shopping malls and shopping centers has greatly increased due to the influence of pre-holiday new year purchases. In addition, the weather is getting warmer during the Spring Festival, and people's travel mainly focuses on visiting relatives and friends, leisure shopping and sightseeing, and the willingness to travel short distances in Yantai will increase significantly.
2. Inter-provincial travel has decreased significantly. In some areas of China, epidemics have occurred repeatedly, and security factors still deeply affect people's tourism consumption decisions during their stay in Spring Festival travel rush. Due to the epidemic prevention and control policy of returning home, the general public has a strong desire to "celebrate the New Year on the spot", and long-distance travel such as inter-provincial tourism will be greatly reduced compared with the past.
(2) Traffic safety risk analysis
Affected by the epidemic, the road traffic laws in Spring Festival travel rush this year will show new changes compared with previous years, and the road traffic safety management will face more challenges.
1, the risk of road traffic congestion around the scenic spot increases. During the "Spring Festival travel rush Peak" period, affected by the epidemic return policy, inter-provincial tourism has been greatly reduced, and the short-distance go on road trip in the city will be greatly increased. At the same time, due to factors such as passenger flow density control and epidemic prevention detection in scenic spots, the entrance and surrounding roads of scenic spots are more prone to slow traffic, private cars dominate, parking demand increases, and illegal parking around scenic spots occurs frequently.
2. The road pressure around the main business district has increased. At present, major supermarkets and entertainment venues are operating normally. During the Spring Festival, outbound travel decreased significantly, and shopping, catering, entertainment and other activities around the business circle increased significantly. Road traffic around the business district may be slow in the morning and evening rush hours and meal time, making parking difficult.
3, rural road traffic safety risks continue to increase. During the "Spring Festival travel rush Peak", it is the Spring Festival. Visiting relatives and friends, rural tours and rural farmhouses are more popular, and the traffic flow of some rural roads will increase. At the same time, due to the frequent impact of severe weather such as rain, snow and smog in winter, road traffic safety management faces more risk challenges.
4. The congestion risk of expressways, national highways and provincial highways increases. The traffic volume of highways and national highways will increase greatly, and some highway entrances and national highways are prone to periodic traffic congestion.
"Spring Festival travel rush Peak" Traffic Situation Forecast (1) Weather Forecast.
According to the forecast of China Weather Network, during the "Spring Festival travel rush Peak" in 2020, the weather in Yantai will be mainly sunny to cloudy, with a temperature of -5- 12℃ and a wind force of 3-4. There is no obvious cold wave weather, but due to the complex and changeable weather in winter, it is likely to be accompanied by high-impact weather such as rain, snow and fog
(B) Road traffic flow forecast
Comparing the traffic volume during the "Spring Festival travel rush Peak" in recent two years, it is found that the city's road traffic volume will usher in "four peaks" during this period.
The first peak: it is predicted that the peak will be from February 6th to February 10, and the traffic flow in the urban area will rise sharply from February 10 to February1noon. The city's traffic flow is mainly the traffic flow of expressways and national highways, and the direction is from urban areas to other places, from coastal areas to inland areas. Among them, on the 2nd 10,204 National Highway Dongmotang goes out of the city, Guan Hai Road Xueyuan Road intersection goes from north to south, and only Chulu Binglun Road intersection goes from east to west. The entrances of expressways such as Fushan, Qixia North, Dujiatuan and Laizhou may be congested, and some sections of national highways such as G228, S208, S2 10 and S308 may be slow.
The second peak: influenced by Spring Festival travel rush's return trip, there will be a peak of return traffic on expressways and national highways in the afternoon of February 17, especially in the direction of Fushan toll station and Yantai toll station entering the city;
The third peak: On the evening of February 26th, affected by the mass travel on the eve of the Lantern Festival, the traffic flow of expressways and national and provincial highways in the city will increase substantially, and the traffic flow around the city business circle will increase.
Fourth peak: After the holiday, affected by the start of primary and secondary schools and the return of migrant workers, it is expected that the traffic flow in Spring Festival travel rush will increase from February 28th to the end of the peak.
(3) Congestion prediction of scenic business district
Comparing the road inspections during the "Spring Festival travel rush Peak" in recent two years, it is estimated that,
During the "Spring Festival travel rush Peak" period, especially during the "Spring Festival travel rush" period, the traffic around Yantaishan Park, Binhai Square, Yantaishan Park, nanshan park, Tashan Amusement Park, Phoenix Mountain and other scenic spots is heavy every morning from 9: 00 to12: 30, which is easy to cause traffic congestion at different times.
Every day11:30-13: 30 and 17:30- 18:30, Ma Bei Road Joy City, Haigang Road Zhenhua, Xiguan South Street Wanda, Dayang RT Mart, Hai Yin Road Jiashike and Qingquan Road New World. In terms of counties and cities, the flow of people and vehicles in famous scenic spots such as Mu Ping, Penglai, Longkou, Zhaoyuan, Haiyang and Long Island will also increase significantly.
(d) urban traffic congestion prediction.
Joy City Section of Ma Bei Road 0 1
02. Zhenhua section of Haigang Road
03. Hongkou section of Ermayina Road
04. Near Qingnian Road No.3 Station
05. Around Wanda, Xiguan South Street
06. Qingquan Road near New World Department Store
Analysis of Traffic Accidents in Spring Festival travel rush (I) Analysis of Accident Date
From the second day to the eighth day, the peak of Spring Festival travel rush is from 3 1 day to 40/day, with high risk of traffic accidents and frequent accidents.
(2) Analysis of critical period of accident
According to the time distribution of accidents, during the peak hours in Spring Festival travel rush, accidents are concentrated in 14- 18 every day.
(3) Analysis of major illegal acts in the accident
From the analysis of the main causes of accidents, drivers' neglect of observation, failure to give way according to regulations, drunk driving, driving without a license, violation of traffic signals and other traffic violations lead to higher proportions of accidents, accounting for 32. 14%, 17.26%,10% and 7.65430 respectively.
(4) Analysis of main vehicle types in the accident.
During the period of Spring Festival travel rush, a large number of traffic accidents occurred in minibuses, ordinary motorcycles and heavy trucks, accounting for 60.7 1%, 19.05% and 6.55% of the total accidents respectively.
(5) Areas with high accident risk
During the peak period of Spring Festival travel rush in the past three years, the accident-prone areas in the city:
National Highway 204: 70-100km
National Highway 206:170-180km.
National Highway 309:14-160km
Provincial Highway 209: 90-100km
Provincial Highway 307: 40-44 km
Provincial Highway 302: 222km