Will typhoons make landfall along the coast in July?

The continuous heavy rains in June made the coming July very worrying. July is always a rough day, especially in coastal areas, as it is the peak season for typhoons. The latest news is that there will be 2 to 3 typhoons in coastal areas in July. Let’s take a look at more latest typhoon news.

On June 25, the National Marine Environment Forecast Center of the Ministry of Natural Resources organized a national marine forecast video conference. According to discussions, two to three typhoons may make landfall on my country's eastern and southern coasts in July.

According to the results of the consultation, there will be 1 to 2 typhoon storm surges along my country's coast in July. There will be 0 to 1 disastrous wave process above 4m in the Bohai Sea and Yellow Sea, 2 to 3 times in the East China Sea and Taiwan Strait, and 2 to 3 times in the South China Sea and Beibu Gulf.

In July, when the sea temperature in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific is higher than 0.5, it will develop into a moderate El Niño event. The sea surface temperature in most parts of the Bohai Sea, the western Yellow Sea, and the South China Sea is slightly higher than normal, the eastern Yellow Sea is slightly lower than normal, and other sea areas are close to normal. In terms of sea fog, the fog area will move to the northern sea. It is expected that foggy days will continue to increase in the sea off Chengshantou, Shandong, with 8-12 days in the Bohai Sea, more than 15 days in the Yellow Sea, and 4-6 days in the East China Sea.

The North Sea, East China Sea, and South China Sea forecast centers, Liaoning, Hebei, Zhejiang, Fujian, Hainan, Guangxi, Tianjin, and Xiamen and Wenzhou ocean forecast stations participated in the discussion.

Watch the coast! Landing is more likely on the night of the 2nd.

The tropical cloud group is likely to intensify into a tropical depression (level 6~7) in the northern part of the South China Sea from the afternoon to the middle of the night on July 1, and will tend to the eastern Hainan Province to the western coast of Guangdong on the 2nd. Slightly stronger. It is more likely that it will land in the above coastal areas in the form of a tropical depression or tropical storm (level 7-8) on the night of the 2nd. Affected by this, the wind force in the western part of our province gradually increased to level 6-8 from the 2nd to 3rd; there were heavy to heavy rains in western Guangdong and coastal cities and counties in the Pearl River Delta, including heavy rainstorms in Leizhou Peninsula, and rotating winds of level 6-7.

Typhoon Moon No. 4 is still expected to cause low pressure disturbance in the South China Sea.

This afternoon, the US JTWC downgraded the system in the eastern Philippines to a tropical depression. The main reason is that the vertical shear of the wind here has increased this morning, 20-25kt, which is a bit scattered, while the sea temperature and high-altitude divergent outflow conditions are okay. The future numerical forecast of this system is not optimistic, and large vertical shear should be considered. The focus in the later period will still be on the development of disturbances in the South China Sea. There is a high probability that it will eventually become Typhoon Moon No. 4. From the 2nd to the 3rd, heavy rains will occur in western Guangdong, Hainan, and southern Guangxi. On April 4, heavy precipitation may also spread to southeastern Yunnan.

Typhoon activity in the Western Pacific seems to be becoming more active in the past two days. For example, on June 27, Typhoon No. 3 "Samba" formed along the southern coast of Japan, becoming the first typhoon to form after the "quiet period" of typhoons in the past four months. At noon on June 29, according to the Fengyun-4 high-definition visible light satellite cloud image, there were many tropical clouds in the South China Sea and the waters east of the Philippines, and it seemed that new typhoons would be generated from them.

Taken together, the emergence of "Typhoon Baby" may still be a sign that tropical cyclone activity in the western Pacific is becoming more active.

In the next few months, the eastern and southern regions of our country will begin to prepare for typhoons!