In July, the 99W stage 1 typhoon embryo was born. Has typhoon No.3 come?
As expected, it may disappear in July 12. Therefore, although this 99W typhoon embryo has been generated, it is unlikely to become a typhoon, so it will not affect any place in China. In short, the possibility that the embryo of typhoon 1 generated in July will develop into a typhoon is extremely small, and this is its basic situation.
Why didn't the typhoon come this year?
Obviously, the climate is abnormal. This year, the two major climate impacts are the most obvious, namely El Niñ o and subtropical high. After this year's weak El Nino event, a typhoon is brewing in the northwest Pacific? Repeatedly? Due to difficulties, although the tropical disturbance developed in the end, it just didn't get up. Most of the typhoon embryos disappeared after brewing to a certain extent. Here we also talked about the subtropical high.
Judging from the change of subtropical high, it has been very strong this year and has been wandering in the northwest Pacific. Although we see that the subtropical high has weakened, its farthest area still extends to the inland areas of China, so the intensity of the subtropical high is still not small. At the same time, the embryos of tropical disturbance or typhoon 99W are still developing, but there are still many restrictions, so they can't get up. At the same time, it is worth noting that there may be no typhoon in mid-July, so there is no need to worry about the development of typhoon for the time being.
What is the typhoon trend this year?
Judging from the current situation, as we said above, there are only two typhoons now, so many people may say that there may be fewer typhoons this year. However, according to the data of the National Climate Center, the number of typhoons expected to be generated in the Northwest Pacific and the South China Sea is slightly higher than normal, and the number of typhoons landing in China is also slightly higher, so it is still a little different from what everyone thinks now. Of course, it also illustrates a problem, that is, the typhoon in the later period may be very explosive.
Generally speaking, there are many factors that affect typhoons. The subtropical high may be more obvious now, but between the active periods of typhoons, it has just begun. July is the midsummer, and August, September and 10 are all active periods of typhoons in the northwest Pacific, so typhoons are prone to occur in the later period. Outbreak? Situation, that is, there is a typhoon at the same time Serial number? The situation, that is to say, the problem of typhoon prevention in the back may be more serious
On the whole, this year's climate anomaly is particularly prominent. Whether it is high temperature, drought or heavy rainfall, it is very obvious this year. Therefore, there is no dispute about this abnormal fluctuation of typhoon. We just need to keep watching.
Of course, it needs to be explained here that the appearance of typhoon is not a good thing, but has two sides. Typhoon may alleviate the weather conditions in some areas, but it may also bring natural disasters, especially when typhoon appears and lands, which is easy to trigger the outbreak of heavy rainfall. Therefore, different regions may have different views on typhoons. This is the general situation.
How is the global storm developing now?
In addition to the 99W typhoon embryo in the pipeline, there are 95A storm embryos, which have landed at present. There are two kinds of named storms in the world today, namely tropical storms in the eastern Pacific. Christina. (Christina), the storm has reached the level of 1 1, and the wind speed is 30m/s. What is expected next? Christina. It will move to the north-north direction at a speed of 25-30 kilometers per hour, and its intensity will gradually increase. However, this storm did not have much impact. According to the trajectory, it is constantly moving away from the United States, so it will not have any impact.
Besides, tropical storms in the North Atlantic? Fay. (FAY) reached the strength of level 9, but directly landed in the United States, and now it is located in eastern New Jersey. So America avoided tropical storms? Christina. (Christina) But didn't avoid the tropical storm? Fay. (Fay). What's the next weather forecast? Fay. Will move north through eastern New Jersey at a speed of 20 kilometers per hour. That's it? Fay. (Fay) has brought the problem of strong winds and rainfall to the United States.
So from today's situation, although the storm changes in the northwest Pacific are not great, there are still many storms around the world, especially in the surrounding areas of the United States.