How much is a catty of corn now? Can it rise again in 65438+February? 202 1 latest corn market forecast
How much is a catty of corn now?
First, dry corn
Dry corn in Zhengding County, Shijiazhuang City, Hebei Province is 0.88 yuan/kg; Dry corn 1. 1 yuan/kg in Tianzhen County, Datong City, Shanxi Province; Yuanbaoshan district, Chifeng City, Inner Mongolia, dried corn 1.02 yuan/kg; Zhuanghe city, Dalian, Liaoning, dried corn 1. 15 yuan/kg; Dry corn in Fengxian District of Shanghai is 0.93 yuan/kg; Shuangliao city, Siping City, Jilin Province, dried corn 1.23 yuan/kg; Wuchang city, Harbin, Heilongjiang 1. 1 Yuan/Jin; Zhenhai district, Ningbo City, Zhejiang Province, dried corn 0.83 yuan/kg; Dry corn 1.37 yuan/kg in Qiaocheng District, Bozhou City, Anhui Province; Lanshan district dry corn 1.29 yuan/kg; Dry corn 1.27 yuan/kg in Sheqi County, Nanyang City, Henan Province; Dry corn 1.3 yuan/kg in Zhongjiang County, Deyang City, Sichuan Province; Dry corn 1.3 yuan/kg in Yangxian County, Hanzhong City, Shaanxi Province.
Second, fresh corn.
0.9 yuan/kg of fruit and corn in Jiujiang District, Wuhu City, Anhui Province; Fruit corn 1. 17 yuan/kg in Hanchuan City, Xiaogan City, Hubei Province; Fruit corn in Pingle County, Guilin City, Guangxi Province is 0.75 yuan/kg; Sweet corn 1 yuan/kg in Xinye County, Nanyang City, Henan Province; Sweet corn 1.7 yuan/kg in Conghua District, Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province; 2 yuan/kg of sweet corn in Jian 'ou City, Nanping City, Fujian Province; Zhengzhou 958 corn in Qixian County, Kaifeng City, Henan Province is 3.36 yuan/kg; Yutian county waxy corn 1. 1 yuan/kg; Waxy corn 1.5 yuan/kg in Pingfang District, Harbin City, Heilongjiang Province; Glutinous corn 1. 1 yuan/kg in Dongtai City, Yancheng City, Jiangsu Province; 2.2 yuan/kg of waxy corn in Luodian County, Qiannan Buyi and Miao Autonomous Prefecture, Guizhou Province.
What is the reason for the recent decline in corn prices? 1, temperature rise
The impact of the last wave of snowfall on the rise of corn has been insufficient. At present, the weather is getting warmer and the tide grain market is increasing, which leads to a slight decline in corn prices.
The traffic is improving.
At present, most of Shandong's grain sources are northeast corn, which shows that transportation has begun to pick up after the temperature rises. Traffic has become smooth, farmers' reluctance to sell has weakened, grass-roots transportation has increased, and the amount of corn on the market has increased. Therefore, enterprises also began to lower prices.
3. It is difficult to store.
There is more rain and snow this winter. After corn harvest, the water content is high, and the natural air drying speed is very slow, because there are fewer sunny days. Coupled with the rising coal price, even the cost of drying has increased a lot compared with the past. In this case, it is difficult to store corn. In order to avoid corn rot, farmers can only be forced to produce food. These tidal grains are obviously not the high-quality grain that enterprises want most, unless the price is very low.
4. The pressure of importing substitutes is not diminished.
Although the number of corn imports has decreased compared with previous years, it has little impact on domestic corn, but it is also difficult to ignore. In addition, driven by the cost advantage, barley, as one of the substitutes for corn, is more favored by domestic grain enterprises, and the subsequent import volume is expected to continue to increase, or it will have a certain impact on the corn market.
Can corn rise in 65438+February? What is the follow-up trend?
Judging from the current situation of the corn market, the decline in corn prices is mainly due to the increase in market volume. For example, the average purchase price in Shandong has dropped to 1.4438+0 yuan/kg. However, most of the corn listed in this round is tide grain, and the enthusiasm of enterprises to purchase tide grain is not high, so it is difficult for corn to have an upward trend in the short term under the condition of low demand.
However, according to the forecast of the Central Meteorological Observatory, the fourth round of cold wave weather is coming, which will bring a new round of rain and snow. Under normal circumstances, due to the influence of a wide range of rain and snow weather, transportation will be hindered to a certain extent, the gap in the corn market will increase and the price will be higher. In addition, this year's Spring Festival is relatively early, and the weather changes so frequently that enterprises may stock up in advance. Due to the limited production of the Winter Olympics in North China, it is expected to stock up in advance. This is supported by demand and has a certain boosting effect on corn prices. Therefore, in June, 5438+February, there is still a chance for corn prices to rise.
Generally speaking, the trend of subsequent corn will be more volatile, and this round of decline will not last long. With the increasing market volume of tidal grain, it is expected that the grass-roots reluctance to sell will increase in the next few days, and the cold wave weather and the uncertainty of epidemic situation will support the corn price trend. However, due to the domestic corn production is still in the concentrated stage, like the last round of snowfall, due to the warmer weather in the afternoon, there is still a trend of centralized shipment of tidal grain. Therefore, it is very likely that the risk of centralized grain sales will break out in advance in the second half of February of 12, and the price does have the risk of "avalanche". Of course, the above analysis only represents personal views. I wonder what you think of the corn market at this stage? Welcome to leave a message for discussion.