Estimated house price in 2022
Estimated house price in 2022
1, the volume of price reduction promotion activities in the new housing market continued.
The three red lines and the loan restriction order mean that the central bank began to block the water in real estate.
At this time, the housing enterprises that looked at the policy began to lose weight. For example, the recent centralized land auction in Chengdu and Hangzhou is very large, obviously.
2. The listing of second-hand houses will continue to surge, and the price of second-hand houses will fall.
After all, the secondary market is influenced by the superior market. In the case of price reduction and promotion of new houses, the secondary market has a greater impact.
Well, if a tree is hit, the trunk and leaves react particularly obviously. 、
For some third-and fourth-tier cities and suburbs of big cities, house prices will continue to fall.
The birth rate continues to decline, the "take-over man" in the tail-line city drops sharply, and the demographic dividend is exhausted.
At present, the urbanization of China is close to 80%, far exceeding the standard of 70% in developed countries. If there are no development opportunities in the tail cities, house prices will basically reach the top. And the reaction is in economic law; If it can't continue to develop, it will continue to fall. Like a parabola.
4. The trend of house prices in some hot cities will continue to be firm.
Scarcity is the most precious thing. Second-tier cities like 1 2 still have a large number of migrants who just need it and continue to flow in, further dividing the tail-line cities.
High-end houses with good quality will become more and more popular.
In fact, Bian Xiao is neutral. But for people who already own their own houses and hold certain assets, it is natural to pursue better.
Will the house price in 2022 be better than 202 1?
Judging from the current policy situation, house prices will be basically stable next year, which is the main tone of the property market. It is basically impossible to raise prices substantially. Even if house prices rise in some areas, they will be restricted by policies.
In addition, the entire economic environment does not allow housing prices to rise again. Although the current economic data is good, the actual consumption level is not optimistic, especially for house slaves. Of course, the mortgage burden is heavy and the consumption expenditure is too high. First-and second-tier cities will be relatively flat next year, but for third-and fourth-tier cities, they will not be too optimistic. If buyers want to buy a house, especially those in the third and fourth lines, they should pay special attention to the location and matching of the house. After all, third-and fourth-tier buyers have no speculation value, especially in those areas where real estate speculators focus on speculation, buyers should be more cautious.
It is unlikely that house prices will rise sharply next year, but in the long run, it is an indisputable fact that the national house prices will definitely continue to rise. In addition, people who just need it should not wait any longer. You can buy it as soon as possible if you have money. If we have to wait until the house price falls, I am afraid that the house price will not fall at that time, and the beautiful house will be gone, and the remote house will not be attractive.
It is estimated that the house price in 2022 will be better than that in 202 1. Details will bring you here.