China Naming Network - Eight-character lottery - Will this winter really usher in the coldest in 60 years?

Will this winter really usher in the coldest in 60 years?

It's not true. Maybe it doesn't mean it will be cold. La Nina may indeed cause the winter temperature in China to be lower than that in the same period, but this is not certain and may heat up. At present, there is no scientific data showing that it will get cold this winter, which requires more scientific analysis and judgment. So, at present, these are just rumors, even rumors.

First, online rumors have no scientific basis.

At present? The coldest in 60 years? Winter stories are all online rumors, based on people's belief that there have been five La Nina events since 2 1 century. In the previous years of La Nina, the winter temperature in China was basically lower than that in the same period, and this ratio reached more than 80%. In fact, this is a misunderstanding, which can only be said in most cases, but not all the winter temperatures in China will be lower in La Nina years. For example, in the winter from 1988 to 1989, there was a warm winter in China in that La Nina year.

So a large proportion does not necessarily mean that this winter may be La Nina, but it does not mean that this winter will be particularly cold.

Second, it is not known whether it is cold or warm this winter.

As for whether this winter will be as cold as in previous years, scientists need to continue to analyze and judge. Because the conditions leading to the cold winter are very complicated, not only La Nina, a strong ocean signal, but also other factors such as atmospheric circulation, snow and sea ice will affect whether the final cold winter can be formed. In addition, La Nina may not be able to offset the increasing global warming.

From my feeling, the climate warming is really serious now, and our winter now can't be compared with the winter when I was a child. When I was a child, it was normal to freeze my hands and feet, and it was normal to snow heavily in winter. Now there is not much snow all winter, and freezing hands and feet is unheard of. In addition to the blessing of heating and electric heating treasures, winter itself is much milder.