How much is a ton of coal in Zhaolou, Heze
Coal prices rose sharply in the first quarter.
In the first quarter, the national average ex-factory prices of thermal coal, coking coal, chemical fertilizer coal, cement coal and coke were 373.8 yuan/ton and 677.4 yuan/ton respectively.
626.6 yuan/ton, 359.7 yuan/ton and 1 176.0 yuan/ton, up 2 1.84%, 15.89%, 15.67% and respectively over the same period of last year.
Judging from the trend of coal prices in each month, coal prices showed an obvious upward trend in the first three months. Among them, the price of coal rose sharply in June 5438+ 10, and the prices of thermal coal, coking coal, chemical fertilizer coal, cement coal and coke rose by 8. 17%, 4.35%, 4.87%, 4.66% and 7.23% respectively. In February, except for the price increase of thermal coal and coke, which dropped by 2.47 and 2. 15 percentage points respectively, the price increase of other three kinds of coal continued to expand. In March, except for the price of coke, which increased by 8.59% and 3.5 1 percentage point compared with the previous month, the price increase of other four kinds of coal decreased obviously.
In addition, the coal price of Qinhuangdao Port, the main coal transit port, rose slightly. The closing price of coal in the first quarter was 488.3 yuan/ton, up 65,438+03.72% from the previous quarter and 65,438+06.37% from the same period last year. The closing prices of power coal, coking clean coal, chemical fertilizer coal and cement coal are 535.2 yuan/ton, 44 1.4 yuan/ton, 485.4 yuan/ton and 5 18.6 yuan/ton respectively.
The rally in the second quarter will slow down.
Judging from the current situation of the coal market, the main factors affecting the trend of coal prices in the later period are:
Coal production growth may slow down. At present, state-owned coal mining enterprises have recovered from overload production to normal production level during the Spring Festival. The National Development and Reform Commission and the State Administration of Work Safety have recently decided to rectify and standardize the order of mineral resources development nationwide, which has curbed the release of production capacity of township coal mining enterprises.
The demand in the coal market has declined. Since 5438+ 10 in mid-June this year, due to the increase in domestic coal demand in winter and the freezing rain and snow disaster in the south, the coal stocks of some power plants, steel mills, fertilizer plants and other enterprises have fallen sharply, and the market supply is seriously insufficient, and even coking coal and fat coal have been snapped up. In March, with the gradual warming of the weather in various places, the domestic coal consumption decreased obviously, the pressure of railway transportation eased, hydropower generation gradually recovered, thermal power units began to stop for maintenance one after another, the demand in the coal market declined, and the tight market supply situation eased. However, affected by factors such as post-disaster reconstruction and industrial production recovery in the south, coal demand will not drop sharply.
The production and operation costs of coal enterprises have risen. Since last year, the state has carried out a pilot reform of the paid use system of coal resources, levied sustainable development funds, coal mine conversion development funds and mine environmental restoration deposits from coal production enterprises, and raised the coking coal resource tax, which has put a great pressure on the increase of production costs of coal enterprises. Since the beginning of this year, affected by factors such as rising fuel costs and increasing coal transportation volume, China Shipping Haisheng, Ningbo Shipping and other enterprises have substantially raised the coal transportation price in 2008, which has supported the future coal price increase.
The price of international coal market has risen. Since the beginning of this year, floods and port congestion in Australia have led to a decline in exports, power supply in South Africa has been interrupted, and major exporting countries such as Vietnam and Indonesia have lowered their coal exports in 2008, which has led to tight supply in the global coal market, a sharp rise in prices, and a widening gap between domestic and foreign coal prices, thus affecting domestic coal prices.
Based on the current domestic and international coal market situation, the coal market entered the off-season of traditional consumption in the second quarter, and the growth rate of coal demand declined. However, due to the possible slowdown in coal production growth, rising production and operation costs of coal enterprises and rising prices in the international market, it is expected that coal prices will continue to rise in the second quarter, but the increase will slow down and may fall back. (Wang Shuangzheng is the price monitoring center of the National Development and Reform Commission)