How to predict the epidemic trend

The proportion of asymptomatic infected people is very high, often reaching more than 90%, which echoes the high proportion of asymptomatic people in Omicron asserted by some experts and is quite different from the actual situation that people finally see. What the hell is going on? There is no answer yet. "It's strange that butlers, experts and everyone didn't expect it. However, I know that in the daily Epidemic Bulletin, I believe most people have noticed that "the proportion of asymptomatic infected people is very high, often reaching more than 90%".

Who doesn't want to be the asymptomatic lucky one? When we first let go, everyone had expectations. Who knows that things are counterproductive, and most of them have experienced "the pain of nirvana." As a result, many people began to doubt experts and predict. At this moment, Hu Yang, deputy director of the Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine in pulmonary hospital, insisted on coming forward and said, "In fact, the number of asymptomatic infected people still accounts for a fairly high proportion. The reason why everyone feels that the number of asymptomatic infected people around them is very small, and asymptomatic people are not sunbathing in a circle of friends. They belong to the' silent majority'. " Who would believe it? Hearing this, most people are impatient! Yes, I'm beginning to question it, too. Many people began to doubt the level of experts, even network experts.

I don't approve of this practice. Forecasting is a very difficult thing. Personally, it may be more difficult to predict the epidemic trend than to predict the earthquake and more difficult than the weather forecast. Mao Zedong said in the article "A single spark can start a prairie fire": "Marxists are not fortune tellers. The future development and change should only focus on one general direction, and it should not and cannot be set mechanically. " Experts are not immortals and should not and cannot accurately predict the future. Prediction is a matter for immortals and masters.

I still believe that sentence, "Doing well now is the most reliable and best prediction for the future"!