Wheat prices hit a new high! The transaction price in many places exceeds 1.7 yuan. Is the listing of new wheat still rising?
For the main wheat producing areas in the Huang-Huai-Hai region, the peak of wheat harvest is at the end of May and the beginning of June, which is about one month.
The price of wheat was only1.65,438+00-1.65,438+05 yuan/kg 2-3 years ago, but it has risen to 1.5- 1.6 yuan/kg in just two years. In mid-April, many flour enterprises in many places,
According to Zhuo Chuang Information Monitoring, as of April 25th, the average price of wheat in the main producing areas was 3,306 yuan/ton, up 30.3 1% compared with the same period of last year and 2.5 1% compared with the same period of last month.
Looking at the trend of wheat during April alone, during the first half of April, most areas operated smoothly, and individual enterprises rose or fell slightly, which is a normal phenomenon in the market.
However, since mid-April, many flour enterprises have raised their purchase prices, and the prices in Shandong, Hebei and Henan all exceeded 1.70 yuan/kg.
After the end of April, the "skyrocketing" wheat price was restrained to a certain extent, falling to about 1.65 yuan/kg.
Wheat rose above 1.70 yuan/kg, the highest price in history. There are three reasons.
First, the market supply is insufficient.
Judging from the grain storage at the grass-roots level, with the approach of new wheat, farmers' surplus grain storage has been limited, and all that should be sold has been sold out. Those who don't want to sell are not prepared to sell, and the supply at the grassroots level is limited.
In terms of transportation, affected by the epidemic, transportation in many places is inconvenient, and local flour enterprises can only buy local wheat, which hinders large-scale cross-regional transportation. Coupled with the first reason, flour enterprises raise the purchase price.
Secondly, after entering April, there is news in the market that the minimum purchase price of wheat will stop. After the news fermented, on the one hand, the auction activity increased in the wheat auction in early April, on the other hand, the auction price was also high.
In this case, the price of wheat in the market has also risen.
Third, in a certain period of time in the market, when the supply of wheat is relatively tight, the demand increases, and the enthusiasm of many residents to hoard flour increases, especially the flour in supermarkets, which is swept away in a short time.
With the increase of market demand, the demand of flour enterprises for wheat has increased, there are not many vehicles in front of the door, and the purchase volume is limited, so they choose to buy wheat at a higher price.
Inquire about the latest quotations of wheat from flour enterprises in various regions (for reference only). Shandong: Yucheng Wudeli 1.66 yuan/kg, Dongming Wudeli 1.66 yuan/kg, Weifang Ye Xiang flour 1.65 yuan/kg, Heze Huarui 1.66 yuan/kg, and Huatong flour 65438.
Hebei: Hualong Company 1.70 yuan/kg, White Elephant Wudeli 1.69 yuan/kg, Shenzhou Wudeli 1.65 yuan/kg, Daming Wudeli 1.67 yuan/kg, Xiongxian Wudeli 1.64 yuan/kg.
Henan: Zhoukou Wudeli 1.64 yuan/kg, Shangqiu Wudeli 1.64 yuan/kg, Suiping Wudeli 1.65 yuan/kg, Sifeng Grain Department 1.68 yuan/kg, Zhengzhou Yihai Kerry1.50.
Jiangsu Suqian Wudeli 1.63 yuan/kg; Jinsha River 1.65 yuan/kg, Bozhou Wudeli 1.62 yuan/kg; Jinsha River in Shaanxi 1.60 yuan/kg, Wudeli in Xianyang, Shaanxi 1.585 yuan/kg.
The new wheat is about to be harvested and listed. Is the price of wheat going up or down?
The climate in different regions is different, and the wheat harvest time is also early and late. Hubei can harvest in the first half of May, and a month later, the main wheat producing areas such as Henan, Hebei, Anhui and Shandong also entered the peak harvest period.
As a food ration, the national treasury is sufficient, and the price of wheat is unlikely to rise sharply again.
According to the market rules and previous years' experience analysis, after wheat harvest, the market will have sufficient supply of new wheat, the market will usher in the peak period of grain sales, and the price will drop.
However, what is the specific decline and what is the opening price of new wheat? This is also the focus of farmers' collection.
According to the analysis of wheat growth in many places this year, the yield will not be low, and the total output is expected to increase. If there is no extreme weather before and during the wheat harvest, the epidemic situation is controlled and the transportation is not blocked, the decline of wheat will be relatively large.
However, considering the current situation, due to the acquisition of traders, flour enterprises, feed enterprises and grain depots, it is more difficult for wheat prices to plummet in a short time.
It is estimated that the price of wheat has dropped to the threshold of 1.50 yuan/kg, and some insiders predict that the opening price of new wheat this year may be between 1.50- 1.60 yuan/kg.
Then, is it possible for the wheat price to return to 1.70 yuan/kg or even exceed 1.80 yuan/kg during the period before the new wheat goes on the market? The answer is almost impossible.
How to treat the price of wheat exceeding 1.70 yuan/kg?