Fengqiu weather
So what are the prices of various agricultural products at present? How to develop the market outlook? Today, I will focus on the "four varieties" of pigs, eggs, corn and sheep:
0 1, the price of live pigs has dropped like mushrooms after rain.
Although the price of pigs rose well this month, on the whole, it fluctuated at a high level between 13.5- 14. 1 yuan/kg, and the profit-making effect of pig farmers was also considerable.
However, in recent days, the pig price has gone up and down, and it has once again returned to below 14 yuan/kg.
125 October 10 The price of live pigs in China fell across the board, turning green.
Except for Hainan, all other provinces fell, with the top provinces falling by 4 cents, Jiangsu 13.8- 14. 1 yuan/kg; Shanxi fell 4 hairs, 13.4- 13.8 yuan/kg; Anhui fell 0.35 yuan,13.75-14.1yuan/kg; Shanghai fell 3 hairs, 14.3- 14.6 yuan/kg; Beijing and Tianjin fell 3 hairs, 13.9- 14438+0 yuan/kg; Liaoning fell 3 hairs, 13.35- 13.6 yuan/kg; Other provinces generally fell by 1-2 gross.
The price of pigs has dropped in recent days for many reasons. To sum up, there are three points:
First, the regulatory factors of relevant departments, the recent continuous release of reserve pork has increased the supply of pork in the market, which still has a certain stabilizing effect on pig prices.
Second, farmers are willing to go up and slaughter. In recent days, when the price of pigs rose to 14 yuan/kg, the breeding profit was as high as 1 100- 1300 yuan/head, which increased the supply pressure.
Third, the difficulty of consumption has risen sharply. As we all know, after entering 10, the price of pigs rose and pork rose, which was said to have an impact on him, but the price of pigs fell, and the price of meat did not fall or fell less, leading to a sharp rise in meat prices. At present, the retail price of mainstream pork in China is 20-24 yuan/kg (Suiling, Heilongjiang is local, pork has also risen to 23 yuan, ribs have reached 26 yuan/kg, and pork belly is 23 yuan/kg).
According to the monitoring of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, as of today 14:00, the average price of pork in the national agricultural products wholesale market was 35.69 yuan/kg, up 0.1%from last Friday; Beef was 77.72 yuan/kg, down1.0% from last Friday; Mutton was 67.76 yuan/kg, down 0. 1% from last Friday.
Regarding the market outlook, under the background of normal pig production capacity and peak consumption season, I personally think that the pig price is likely to be a volatile market, but it is more difficult to rise sharply. Before the Spring Festival, the pig price of 15 yuan/kg should be a "ceiling" that is difficult to break through.
02. Eggs rose and made a comeback.
After a correction some time ago, the egg market has once again ushered in an upward trend. Up to today, the official monitoring quotation is: egg 12.60 yuan/kg, equivalent to one kg of 6.3 yuan, up 1.6% from last Friday.
Today, in the national egg market, egg prices have risen again in many places, including: generally rising in Beijing, Huilongguan, Wangsiying, Laiguangying, Yuegezhuang, Shunyi Shimen, Tongzhou, Pinggu, Yanqing 4 yuan, 280 yuan /44 kg;
Tianjin rose in many places, and Jixian, Baodi, Wuqing and Ninghe rose in 4 yuan, 269 yuan /45 kg;
6 yuan rose in Aohan, Chifeng and other places in Inner Mongolia, with a price of 272 yuan /45 kg;
Shanghai rose in many places, and the price of eggs in Pudong, Shanglian, Xinghuahui and Puxi generally rose in 5 yuan, 173 yuan/27.5kg;
The price of eggs in Shandong has risen in a large area, with Weifang Changle Wholesale and Qingdao Liwei Wholesale rising 10 yuan, 263 yuan /45 kg, 192 yuan /30 kg respectively; Weifang, Qingzhou, Anqiu, Zhucheng, Gaomi and other places generally rose by 0. 15 yuan, and the price was 6. 15 yuan/kg; Qingdao Egg Merchants Alliance rose 0. 15 yuan, offering 6.50 yuan/kg.
Ruzhou, Fengqiu, Yuanyang and other places in Henan generally rose 1 gross, and the household price was 6.0 yuan/kg; Pingliang and Jingchuan in Gansu increased by 20 yuan/kg.
On the whole, today's egg price rebounded in a large area, and the voice of bullish market sounded again.
Industry analysis reasons: first, the normal shock rebound in the process of falling back. If you fall too much, you will definitely rebound a little, so you don't have to over-interpret it.
Second, in fact, the price of eggs is more than 6 yuan, or even 7 yuan a catty, which really makes ordinary people overwhelmed. However, the increase in consumption some time ago has also driven up the price of eggs.
The third is the weather factor. Winter is coming, the weather turns cold, the laying rate of laying hens drops, and the productivity is insufficient. Coupled with many factors such as rising feed costs and poor transportation, it has a certain supporting effect on egg prices.
Regarding the market outlook, I feel that it is more difficult for the egg price to rise sharply in the next two months, because the egg price is still not low at present, and in addition to the traditional off-season, the egg price will probably fall back to 4.5-5.5 yuan.
03, corn has gone up again.
It is the peak season when a large number of corn are harvested and listed in the north. The price of corn has rarely risen, and the increase is obviously stronger than the previous days. At present, it is a general rising pattern in the north and south.
Nowadays, many enterprises in Shandong, North China and Northeast China have risen.
Three enterprises in Heilongjiang rose: Suihua Haotian rose 1.0 points, dry food 1.275 yuan/kg, and 30% wet food 1.03 yuan/kg; New synthetic organisms increased by 1.0, and dry food 1.275 yuan/kg; Tidal grain 1.03 yuan/kg; Xiang Yu in Bei 'an rose 1 point, and 30% tidal grain 1.03 yuan/kg.
Inner Mongolia 1 rise: Bashan starch rose by 2 points, offering 1.375 yuan/kg.
Enterprises in Hebei Province rose 2 and fell 2: Shijiazhuang Derui starch rose 1 min, 1.4 15 yuan/kg; Xingtai Guangyu starch rose 1 min, 1.420 yuan/kg; Qinhuangdao Pengyuan fell 1.5 points, 1.335 yuan/kg; Lihua raw materials fell 1 point, 1.350 yuan/kg.
Nine enterprises in Shandong rose: Weifang Shengtai Pharmaceutical rose by 0.5 points, and the price was 1.402 yuan/kg; Xuan Ying's industry rose by 0.5 points, 1.495 yuan/kg; Shouguang Chen Ming rose 0.5 points, and the price was 1.420 yuan/kg; Tian Li pharmaceutical industry rose by 0.5 points, 1.4 10 yuan/kg; Shouguang Golden Corn rose 0.5 point, 1.4 10 yuan/kg; Linqing golden corn rose by 0.5 point, 1.398 yuan/kg; Yucheng Baolingbao rose by 0.5 points, 1.4 10 yuan/kg; Pingyuan Fuyang rose by 0.3 points, 1.425 yuan/kg; Hengren's industry and trade rose 1 point, 1.470 yuan/kg.
The recent increase in corn prices is due to domestic supply and demand factors, the contradiction between international food supply and demand factors, and the psychological changes of market participants.
There are three specific points:
First, the market is bullish, and some grain merchants have high expectations for the price of corn in the market outlook, and there is a certain reluctance to sell.
Traders' willingness to open positions has increased, and their purchasing enthusiasm has increased.
Second, the international food crisis is still worsening, and international food prices are expected to rise. At present, the duty-paid price of imported corn at southern ports has reached 1.70 yuan/kg, and many countries have low corn depots and concentrate on purchasing. In addition, due to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the drought in summer and autumn, the demand for corn imports from 27 countries has increased, which will directly support and boost China's future corn prices.
Third, the recent increase in feed prices, with an average increase of 75-200 yuan/ton, is also a substantial positive for corn prices.
Regarding the market outlook, I personally think that the peak of corn market volume is coming soon, and there is logic in corn weakness in the short term. However, considering the above-mentioned many favorable factors, the corn market outlook is still worth looking forward to, and the average price 1.50 yuan/kg will appear with high probability.
04, the sheep market ushered in an inflection point.
From the beginning of the year to now, the price of sheep has been fluctuating downward, hovering at a low level for nearly 10 months. However, in the last two days, netizens all over the country reported that the price of sheep turned around and the price of sheep rose in some areas.
According to the latest sheep price, in Tangxian County, Hebei Province, the price of various breeds of sheep has increased by 30 to 40 points, including Han sheep skewers 13.2- 13.5 yuan/kg, Xinmin sheep skewers 13.6- 14.5 yuan/kg, and fine-wool sheep skewers1kg.
Hebei Chengde 30 kg sheep Miao Gong 650 yuan/only; Fattening Du Hangong in Zhenping, Henan, 130 kg or more, 15.0 yuan/kg; Zhoukou fattening sheep 14 yuan/kg.
Shandong bird's nest fine-wool sheep kebabs 13.5- 13.8 yuan/kg, Xinmin sheep 14.2- 14.8 yuan/kg; Laiyang Duhan string fattening sheep 15.0 yuan/kg;
The price of lambs in Hohhot, Inner Mongolia has risen, including 850 lambs, each weighing 35 kg! 700 sheep each.
The price of lambs in some areas of Heilongjiang Province has increased, including 30 kg male lambs, 650-750 yuan/lamb.
Shenyang, Liaoning Xinmin sheep ram 30 kg, each 700 yuan.
Judging from the price of each sheep, the price of sheep has improved recently. On the whole, the price of adult sheep rose slightly, and the price of lamb rose slightly. A lamb has risen by about 50- 100 yuan, which should be a good phenomenon, indicating the market's expectation of future sheep price increase, but multi-factor analysis shows that the short-term increase of sheep price is difficult to sustain and does not have the logic of a big rise.
For the market outlook, industry insiders analyzed that the recent increase in the price of sheep was mainly due to the following reasons: First, the weather turned cold and the seasonal consumption season came, which supported the price of sheep.
Second, although some farmers have left in recent years, some old farmers have seen business opportunities and their expectations for the market outlook have risen.
Dear friends, the prices of pigs, eggs and sheep have risen to varying degrees recently. What's the price of pork, eggs and mutton in your place? Welcome to share with netizens all over the country for your reference and comparison.