How to predict when the bull market will come?

The stock market has its own rules. The end of the bear market is a bull market. Now A shares are in the early stage of bear tail bull market, and the opportunity for Man Cang to meet the bull market is emerging. This bull market refers to the main board, not goofy GEM.

As soon as the market rose, a few big positives were summed up on Monday morning; As soon as the stock market is adjusted, it will sum up several big negatives, all of which are bearish thinking that has gone up and looked down, which is harmful to investors' rational operation.

Stock market investors should be forward-looking and patient enough to wait for the best opportunity to sell. If there are more than N structural quotes before A-shares, there will be systematic opportunities now, which is a bull market.

Stocks with falling interest rates may not necessarily go up. It can only be said that the financing cost of enterprises is low, but the benefits may not go up, especially the so-called big blue chip.

There are only two logics for the A-share market to rise. First, the government needs it to rise. Second, the government should let it go up.

From these two points, let's find out the reasons, such as low valuation, performance reversal, emerging industries, transformation and restructuring, policy support, funds and so on. Many reasons can be justified in a certain period of time. Some people believe that others will follow suit. After the market is alive, off-exchange funds will be attracted, IPO or version 3 will be good, the secondary market game, and the primary market PE/VC will be alleviated.

As for the bad side, the probability of occurrence may not be low, and there are many pessimistic views.

Operating A shares in this way is commonly known as "stock trading", and I have to admire the charm of China people. In a word, speculation captures the key core, and the future opportunity actually lies in speculation, over and over again!

The coming of the big bull market must meet one condition: the rapid growth of various industries. Interested parties can check the statements of blue-chip listed companies from 2005 to 2008 to see their growth rate.

When listed companies in several mainstream industries that affect the economy can double-click Davis, it is a big bull market. Without this support, everything else is nonsense. Today's stock market is not as small as it was in the 1990s. A few big funds combined with several waves can create a big bull market.