How many people have been harmed by Murphy's Law?

You bought new shoes and walked out of the mall happily in them. It just started to rain outside. You keep your head down repeatedly to make sure that the newly bought shoes are not dirty. Then you confirmed that the shoes were dirty by muddy water after the third time/kloc-0, and then you stopped thinking about it and looking down.

Working overtime and staying up late for a week, you watch the clock tick at 2 am, stretch and touch your stiff neck, thinking that if you continue like this, you will definitely get cervical spondylosis. A week later, you took a one-way leave from the boss with the diagnosis of cervical spondylosis in the hospital and had a good rest for three days.

When traveling, the other half repeatedly tells you to take your bag and don't lose it. Finally, you are impatient and say to him, "Don't worry, I won't lose it." After three or five scenic spots, the other half said, "Give me the tissue in your bag." Then you turn around and say, "Oh, I left it at the last store ..."

I don't know how many people have experienced similar things. I have experienced all three situations just now, and I don't think there is any connection between them. But when you record these behaviors in words, you will find some inevitability in these accidents.

Our lives seem random, but in fact they are all staged in secret according to the script. Who is the director? Who is the protagonist? How does the plot develop?

In the movie Interstellar, which was popular all over the world in 20 14, the daughter of the protagonist Cooper was named Murphy.

At the beginning of the film, Cooper and his son and daughter are driving to school, and there is a flat tire on the way. Cooper's son said: Murphy's Law. The daughter was very angry and asked her father why he and her mother named her after something bad. So Cooper explained:

There is a concept called "Murphy's Law" and a book with the same name called "Murphy's Law", which means that as long as everything can go wrong, it will go wrong.

This was summed up by eddie murphy, a captain engineer at Edwards Air Force Base in the United States, but the basis of the summary was only an accident he experienced:

1949, he and his boss, Major stapp, had an accident during a rocket deceleration overweight test due to instrument failure. Eddie murphy found that the measuring instrument was installed backwards by technicians.

From this, he drew the lesson that:

If there are many ways to do a job, one of which will lead to an accident, then someone will do it in this way.

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Later, Murphy's words were widely circulated and constantly interpreted. Every time people encounter something bad they want, they will move out this sentence to comfort themselves. They always feel afraid of something.

It's like a scripted life. Everything has rules to follow. No matter what you do, there is always a probability that something bad will happen, and if possible, it will happen.

There seems to be no problem, and Murphy's law is often verified by later generations. But there is a problem, I don't know if anyone really thought about it:

Murphy's law was only summed up by an engineer according to an accidental event, and no large number of probability experiments and studies were done, but why did future generations agree that it was correct?

Did you first have this concept and form a bondage in your mind, and then attribute everything to it? Or is it true that every possible bad thing will happen?

Of these two possibilities, I believe in the former more, because with this law and its wide spread, all the bad things that happened later have ownership.

Just like when we go to a fortune teller, the fortune teller tells us that you are not going well next month, so you should pay attention.

Who can not have bad things? If you don't have a fortune teller, even if something happens, you will think it is an accident and will not blame fate;

But once you plant this seed in your mind, you will always pay attention to the "not so smooth" things in life; I thought to myself, "Is this what the fortune teller said was not smooth?" "If it weren't for this, what would have gone wrong?"

Then, you will find that there are more and more things that are not going well in your life this month, and then you will start to say to others everywhere, "This man is right, I really have a bad month."

Murphy's law and fortune telling are actually the same principle, that is, to control your thoughts by controlling your concerns.

If you focus on the bad things, then your mind will unconsciously look for and attract the bad things. When bad things are attracted, if you are unprepared or lack of ability, the probability of making mistakes is of course great, so the probability of bad things happening as scheduled is much greater.

Therefore, Murphy's law works from time to time, not because you believe Murphy's law too much in your mind.

I think it is Murphy's Law that makes people believe, which will increase the probability of bad things.

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Instead of believing in Murphy's law, it is better to remember a broader law-the law of attraction.

Unlike Murphy's law, this law only says that bad things will happen. It also tells you that if you keep thinking about the positive dreams you want to realize, then good things will happen.

It is also a question of probability and attribution that cannot be verified. If you want to remember, I suggest remembering the law of attraction. At least it will make your mind focus on positive things and emotions instead of seeing bad things like Murphy's Law.

But why do many people think that the law of attraction is metaphysical and unrealistic, but they firmly believe that Murphy's law is more?

Because the law of attraction teaches people to realize their dreams through positive thoughts. If you do, what you want will really come true. However, after the realization, people's sense of superiority does not always think that the law of attraction works, but that personal abilities, opportunities and efforts are all in it, and positive ideas only account for part of the factors.

But Murphy's law that makes bad things come true is different. When bad things come true, people will not look for reasons from themselves at first, nor will they admit that they are not working hard enough. So they will be more willing to use Murphy's law to excuse their responsibilities.

So people are more willing to believe that Murphy's law is effective, and the bad thing must be the law of the universe, which has nothing to do with me. And the achievement of the goal must be my reason, which has little to do with positive thinking.

Since Murphy's law and the law of gravity are both probability problems, can we uncover the curse of Murphy's law from a mathematical point of view?

If we quantify the content of Murphy's Law, that is to say, if there are 99% good things and 1% bad things in life, and this 1% bad thing will definitely happen.

Then the question is, in the whole life, we can't interfere with the proportion of good things and bad things, but can't we change the probability of 1% bad things?

According to Murphy's law, the probability of bad things happening is 100%. If it doesn't happen, it's only a matter of time, and it will happen sooner or later.

Is that really the case?

Charles Munger once said: If I knew where I would die, I would never go there.

You see, this is a way to reduce the probability. If we sum up all the factors that will make us "explode" and never touch them, will the probability of Murphy's Law be much smaller?

For example, if I know that staying up late and working overtime will lead to my health problems, my life will be over. As long as I exercise properly and stay healthy, won't the law happen?

For another example, I know that borrowing usury will drag a person to death. Isn't it over if you don't borrow it?

But you may say, "Yes, many people know that eating unhealthy food will make you fat, but there is no way. Isn't this Murphy's Law fulfilled again? "

Yes, there is a probability problem involved here, that is, how many people who know how to reduce the probability of bad things really know and can put this "understanding" into action? How many just understand a truth, and then in life, or follow the intuition?

So further questioning, the question becomes: How many people can match cognition with action? That is, knowing and doing are one.

This specific probability is actually uncertain, so when we dig deep into this piece, we find the reason why Murphy's Law is accurate: because not everyone, like Charles Munger, knows the danger clearly but doesn't do it.

On the contrary, the development of this era and the progress of technology have amplified people's instincts, such as being lazy, enjoying rest and entertainment, stimulating and pursuing happiness. In order to pursue these, people will waver or even give up protection when making choices, and go to the end they know is a tragedy.

For example, if you know that you can lose weight by holding your mouth, you just can't control it;

Knowing that watching too many funny videos will lead to addiction and decreased attention, I still want to watch it.

Knowing that if you don't learn more skills, you will be eliminated in the future, but you are still content with the status quo and don't want to change.

Then the question is coming:

Since concentration, self-control and learning ability are gradually lacking and becoming more and more difficult to master, will those who have these things occupy more advantages in the future?

Does it "break out" later than others, so that "bad things" happen less?

Are these people more likely to live longer than others?

Besides the above, what other different futures do you foresee? Leave me a message below and we'll discuss it together.

Leave a message of 200 words every day to punch in, and find back the gradually missing concentration and active thinking ability.

Author | Yaya Editor | Miao Xiaoer

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