National Climate Center Weather Warning: Rainfall typhoons increase from May to September, which mainly affects these areas.

Although science and technology are very developed now, it will not lead to the failure of grain harvest in the face of floods and dry weather, farming is always a job of depending on the weather. More or less rainfall still has a great impact on grain output, and if it encounters a typhoon, the impact will be even greater.

In p>221, many places suffered from severe floods, which not only affected the yield and quality of wheat in this season, but also affected the cultivation of wheat. Will this year be similar to last year? Recently, the International Climate Center issued a weather warning from May to September, which will mainly affect these areas, and rainfall and typhoons will increase.

according to the contents of the weather forecast bulletin issued by the national climate center, the weather situation in China in 222 is not ideal, which belongs to the general deviation level, and a large number of disastrous weather will occur. The rainfall will be 2-5% higher than that in the same period of last year, and the number of typhoons will reach 7-9, slightly higher than that in previous years.

these disastrous weather mainly affects these areas, including the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River basin, Liaohe River basin, Haihe River basin and Nenjiang River basin, and the precipitation will increase significantly compared with the same period of last year. It is estimated that the precipitation in some areas of South China and Southwest China will reach more than 8nm, and in addition, the precipitation in most areas of Shanxi, Shandong and Henan will be 2-5% higher than the same period of last year.

in terms of temperature, there will be short-term staged high temperature in East China and Central China, and the temperature in most parts of Liaoning, Central China and North China will be 1-2℃ higher than that in the same period of last year.

although high temperature is beneficial to the growth of food crops, extreme weather such as heavy rainfall and typhoon is unfavorable to the growth of crops.

This reminds farmers that this year, farmers need to collect the weather changes from May to September, know the weather information in time and make preparations. When the weather such as heavy rainfall and typhoon comes, they need to make preparations for drainage and lodging resistance of crops in advance.

finally, let's talk about the grain prices of wheat and corn.

the price of corn fluctuates.

As there is not much surplus grain left by grass-roots farmers, the corn currently circulating in the market is basically in the hands of traders. Due to the obstruction of logistics and transportation, deep processing enterprises are short of vehicles to arrive in the morning. On the one hand, enterprises use their stocks to meet the current demand, on the other hand, they raise food prices to stimulate local traders to move goods, so corn prices have fluctuated.

However, the key premise of corn price increase is that logistics and transportation are blocked. If the follow-up epidemic situation is lifted and transportation is resumed, corn prices will eventually return to the market, and it is unlikely to rise sharply. Why do you say that?

1. The new season of wheat is about to go on the market, and the price of wheat is likely to fall, and the price of corn is under pressure;

2. The production capacity of live pigs will be reduced in the second half of the year, and the demand for corn will weaken;

3. With the easing of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, international food prices may fall, which will further spread to China;

4. Deep processing enterprises and feed enterprises have weak profits or even losses, and they are very keen to keep prices down.

The range of wheat price decline has increased. With the approaching of the new wheat market, the efforts to put in grain reserves are still increasing. More auctions also mean that traders and enterprises have insufficient confidence in the market price of wheat, and the current wheat fever has dropped.

unlike corn, which has the property of deep processing, the main use of wheat is feed and rations. Now the price of wheat has made it lose the price advantage at the feed end, and the rest can only rely on flour enterprises. It is expected that the demand for terminal flour will weaken and the price of wheat will fall.

At present, the inventory of flour milling enterprises can still meet the demand, the terminal delivery is not smooth, the wheat price is declining, and enterprises mainly wait and see. It is expected that the wheat price will go through a wave of rise, and it may take until September and October for wheat to usher in new speculation factors.