After Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson and Zaporozhye join Russia
After Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson and Zaporozhye joined Russia, the United States was unwilling to give in and continued to add fuel to the fire. Just a few days ago, U.S. President Biden stated that he would allocate another $1.1 billion in military aid to Ukraine and intends to sign a bill currently under consideration by Congress to allocate another $12 billion to support Ukraine. He said the United States will always respect Ukraine's internationally recognized borders and will continue to provide military and diplomatic assistance for the return of all Ukrainian territories.
The core issue now is that many countries in the world are facing a populist crisis. The populist crisis in the United States has never been resolved, and nationalist tendencies have also emerged in Russia. Only by consistently winning on the battlefield can Russia maintain domestic stability. However, the United States continues to provide support to Ukraine and threatens to counterattack. Ukrainian President Zelensky actually signed an application to accelerate NATO membership. This will naturally be opposed by NATO because NATO countries do not want to be dragged into the war.
Germany refused to provide a new round of aid to Ukraine, and widespread demonstrations occurred in European countries. As the war progresses, Europe's ability to assist Ukraine will be weakened. The United States is shifting conflicts abroad due to the need for the mid-term elections. After the mid-term elections, the United States may stop providing assistance to Ukraine.
Judging from the current situation, Russia wants to cease the war and has issued a request for negotiations with Ukraine, but Zelensky said that there will be no negotiations as long as Putin is president. It can be seen from this that it is very difficult for Russia to end the war.
It is unrealistic for the United States to completely defeat Russia, because Europe does not want to go to war with Russia, and it is simply impossible to conquer Russia solely by relying on the power of Ukraine. It is true that Russia's military conscription order has caused some domestic pressure. The United States and Western countries want to see instability in Russia's domestic politics, but the situation in Europe seems to be more unstable.
Although the "Nord Stream" weather pipeline is damaged, European countries can still import coal from Russia and other countries, which will not have a fatal impact on the EU. The core issue now is that the Russia-Ukraine conflict is gradually de-escalating, because Ukraine's model of continuous offensive is unrealistic and absurd. Russia should not militarize its system, as this is very dangerous.
During World War I and World War II, Germany was a militarized country. This system determined that Germany would launch a war of aggression. Once it failed, it would inevitably lead to destruction, because after the change in the national system, Germany entered a " The model of "fighting to feed war". The situation in Japan was exactly the same back then. Therefore, the militarization model will inevitably fail in war. It is only a matter of time. Russia's goal now should be to de-escalate the conflict in Ukraine so that the situation will not escalate further and economic development will not be hindered.
It is also unfeasible for the United States to engage in militarized war. After the failure of the "Arab Spring" movement launched by the United States, the war in Afghanistan failed again, and serious internal political turmoil occurred during the Trump administration. Fortunately, the United States has dollar hegemony, and the Federal Reserve has restored blood for the United States through various operations. However, other countries do not have such conditions, so there is a huge risk for the United States to continue to provoke or participate in wars.
Of course, the key to the Russia-Ukraine conflict depends on the United States. If the United States always provides advanced weapons to Ukraine, the Russia-Ukraine conflict cannot be de-escalated. Even if Russia wants to, it will be unable to do so. However, Russia is also a country with nuclear weapons. The United States will not see Russia fail, and the world is not willing to see nuclear weapons being used, because that would be a world-class disaster. Therefore, the United States and Russia should ease conflicts and prevent the situation from becoming uncontrollable.