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When will the typhoon arrive in Shanghai?

Special Meteorological Report No. 47 Shanghai Central Meteorological Observatory

August 9, 2009, 7:30

---"Morakot" Latest Updates ---

-The typhoon is currently moving slowly, and the landfall time has been postponed to the evening to early midnight. The intensity of the typhoon at landfall, landfall point, and path after landfall remain the original forecast opinions. There will still be significant wind and rain impacts on this city and Taihu Lake.

The center of this year's No. 8 typhoon "Morakot" at 05:00 today is located on the Taiwan Strait about 100 kilometers south-east of Xiapu County, Fujian Province. It is 25.8 degrees north latitude and 120.5 degrees east longitude. The maximum wind force is near the center. Level 12 (35 meters/second), the radius of the level 7 wind circle is 380 kilometers, and the radius of the level 10 wind circle is 100 kilometers. The center of the typhoon is currently continuing to move north-west at a speed of about 5 to 10 kilometers per hour. "Morakot" is expected to make landfall between Lianjiang, Fujian and Yueqing, Zhejiang this evening to early midnight, with a severe tropical storm level when it makes landfall. After that, it continued to move northward, weakened in intensity, and passed through the Taihu Basin on the night of the 10th, then turned northeast and entered the Yellow Sea.

Wind and rain forecast in this city: "Morakot" is expected to have a significant impact on this city from the evening of the 9th to the 10th. The rainfall during the process can reach heavy rain (70-90 mm), and local heavy rain (100-150 mm). mm), the wind force in urban areas will gradually strengthen to level 6 to 8, the Yangtze River Estuary area and coastal areas along the Yangtze River to level 7 to 9, the coastal sea surface of Shanghai and Yangshan Port area to level 9 to 11, and huge winds of 4 to 6 meters will appear. wave.

Weather forecast for the Taihu Lake Basin: Affected by "Morakot", it is expected that there will be more obvious wind and rain weather in the Taihu Lake Basin from the first half of the 9th to the 11th, with the surface rainfall reaching 80 to 120 mm, accompanied by Strong winds of magnitude 7 to 9. Precipitation will cause the water level of Taihu Lake to further rise, which is very likely to exceed 4.2 meters (warning water level 3.5 meters). Our city's emergency mobile weather radar rushed to Huzhou yesterday to strengthen monitoring of wind and rain conditions in the area. It is recommended that relevant departments pay close attention to changes in the water level of Taihu Lake and take timely response measures.

Tips and Suggestions: Relevant departments are requested to prepare for various emergencies such as urban and farmland flood prevention and drainage; stop large-scale outdoor gatherings; and all residential areas carry out disaster prevention and avoidance according to the typhoon and flood prevention plan. Implementation of various measures; ships operating in relevant waters should promptly enter the port to take shelter; outdoor workers working at heights, on the water, and at construction sites should pay attention to precautions and avoid the impact of wind and rain in a timely manner; structures that are easily blown by the wind should be reinforced or dismantled; and personnel in dangerous buildings should be relocated in a timely manner.

We will pay close attention to the future dynamics of "Morakot", especially the changes in its structure and intensity as it moves northward after landing, and will report the latest situation in a timely manner.