About the 2008 Beijing Olympics medals!
This is what I discovered accidentally. It is quite interesting to use GDP to predict the number of Olympic medals in the 2008 Olympics:
As early as the eve of the 2000 Sydney Olympics, Daniel, a professor at the University of Colorado in the United States, Using remaining funds from the project, Johnson worked with an undergraduate research assistant to study whether economic factors predict the number of medals countries win at the Olympics.
“It’s a pretty neat model, and we were surprised at how accurate the model’s predictions were,” Professor Johansen said. His model incorporates five basic data about participating countries: GDP, total population, political system type (dictatorship, military rule, democratic or communist leadership), climate (number of days with average temperatures below freezing) and whether it is a host country. country.
This exploratory study has not been published. When the results of the competition were announced, the accuracy of the model predictions was as high as 95-96%, which attracted people's attention. "Our precision made us wonder if we had made a mistake," the professor said. Inquiry calls also followed, including from two countries asking for advice on how to prepare for the next Olympics.
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Professor Johnson’s model has accurately predicted the number of medals in every Summer and Winter Olympics since 2000. Before the Beijing Olympics on August 8, he released the latest round of predictions.
According to model projections, the US team will achieve similar results to the 2004 Athens Olympics. The total number of medals will reach 103, and the number of gold medals will increase slightly, from 33 to 35. The Russian team is expected to rank second in the medal list, winning 28 golds and a total of 95 medals.
The model predicts that the biggest winner this year will be China. As the host nation, China is expected to win 89 medals, with a total of 44 gold medals. This number of gold medals is the same as the number of gold medals won by the United States team at the 1996 Atlanta Olympics.
Generally speaking, the organizers of the Olympic Games will perform 25% above the standard by taking advantage of the favorable conditions of local operations. China won 32 gold medals in the last Athens Olympics, and China's GDP has also increased significantly since 2004. At the same time, as a world sports power, China’s fighting spirit to win games is also eye-catching.
Professor Johnson emphasized that the prediction results of this model are not to compare the number of medals between countries, but to evaluate whether a country's sports team has reached its expected level. The number of medals a country wins is also affected by factors such as the size of the country's population, the amount of training it receives and the number of participating athletes.
Of course, Professor Johansson is not the only economist to make scientific predictions about Olympic medals. Last week, PricewaterhouseCoopers, a well-known international accounting firm, released its predictions. China will rank first in the world with 88 medals, followed by the United States and Russia with 87 and 79 medals respectively.
Answer: Anonymous 7-11 16:51