The global food situation will change in 2020. Why are so many people starving?
Food is the most important thing for people, and the supply of food has always been concerned. When the international grain market fluctuates greatly due to locust plague, extreme weather and other factors, the sudden outbreak of a new round of drought in 2020 makes the global food security and shortage more serious. In view of this, the United Nations also issued an early warning: by 2020, 25 countries will face serious hunger problems, and the world will also face the worst food crisis in 50 years.
Overall, the brief report on food supply and demand released by FAO from June 5438 to February 2020 shows that the global grain output is still expected to reach a record 2.742 billion tons, an increase of 1.3% over the previous year. Among them, the forecast number of coarse grain output is 65.438+0.472 billion tons; The forecast number of wheat yield was slightly lowered to 76170,000 tons; Rice production is expected to reach 508.4 million tons. Specifically, corn (coarse grains) production in the United States and Ukraine is expected to decline, while corn production in Serbia is expected to reach the highest level in history; The wheat forecast in Argentina and Brazil has declined, but the wheat in Russia is expected to have a bumper harvest; The prospects for rice production in Bangladesh and Vietnam have deteriorated, but they have been partially offset by the increase in rice production in Pakistan.
Generally speaking, although some countries are in danger of grain production reduction, such as India, which suffered from locusts, its scholars predict that India's grain production will decrease by 30%-50% in 2020, but the world will appear in 2020 due to the offset of other countries' increased production? Grain production has been greatly reduced? Unlikely. In view of the optimistic prospect of world grain production, why is the world still developing? Food security? Warning? According to the Securities Times, this may be related to the major grain exporting countries at the time of the outbreak? Hoarding food? According to the Securities Times, from March to April in 2020, six major grain exporting countries announced their grain exports one after another? A ban? .
In March, Vietnam announced a ban on rice export, Egypt announced that it would stop exporting all kinds of bean products within three months, Cambodia banned the export of white rice and rice, and Kazakhstan banned the export of 1 1 agricultural products such as wheat and potatoes. In April, Russia also set a grain export quota. Although there is no explicit prohibition, Brazil and Argentina have also slowed down soybean exports. After the grain exporting countries announced the ban on exports one after another, the international food price also rose. ? A ban? Within two weeks after the implementation, the price of soybeans in Chicago rose by more than 7%, the price of wheat futures rose by more than 18%, and the main soybean contract 1 2020 rose by 25.9%, the highest since 20 13.
Despite the worldwide? Grain production has been greatly reduced? This is unlikely to happen, but production in some countries has fallen sharply. What about grain exporting countries? Stockpiling? This practice has also led many food importing countries to announce their reserves in an emergency. This is also an important reason why experts pointed out that the United Nations issued an urgent warning. According to CCTV news report in August, 2020, due to the locust plague, the grain reserves of many countries in East Africa have been reduced. Bottom? In the slums of Kenya, there are even thousands of people waiting in line for food relief. In addition, most rice supplies in countries such as Vietnam, Indonesia and the Philippines have also experienced food supply shortages.