Is the probability of winning the lottery the same between those who draw lots first and those who draw lots later?

This is a textbook-level classical probability theory problem. The answer is: it depends on whether the person who wins the lottery first opens it immediately after winning the prize. If the person who draws first doesn't open it immediately after the draw, but waits until everyone has finished, then the probability of the person who draws first and the person who draws later is the same. On the other hand, if the first person draws lots and opens them immediately, the probability of the last person drawing lots will change, because at this time, the probability of the last person drawing lots will become the "conditional probability" after the given conditions of the first person drawing lots. Of course, there is no need to calculate, and we can intuitively know that if the person who smokes first does not smoke much, the conditional probability of the person who smokes later will increase; If the person who draws first has already drawn, the conditional probability of the person who draws later is 0.

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