What's the weather like in Shandong during the Spring Festival? Is the traffic heavy? Travel tips
Gaode Map, together with China Weather Network and more than 80 local traffic management departments in China, issued the 2008 Spring Festival travel rush Safe Travel Guide (hereinafter referred to as the Guide).
Compared with previous years, the number of people in go on road trip will increase significantly during the rush hour in Spring Festival travel rush this year, and the task of ensuring safe and smooth roads is arduous. Which highways and scenic spots are the most blocked? When is the worst traffic jam? It's all here. I suggest collecting it! Forecast of high-speed congestion trend: February departure peak is 65438+1October 26th, and return peak is 10. According to this guide, it is predicted that during the period of Spring Festival travel rush in 2008, the national high-speed outbound will be dispersed. It is estimated that there will be a small exit peak at 10: 00-12: 00, 14:00- 16:00.
As for the return trip to Spring Festival travel rush, it is expected to be affected by the centralized return trip. On the last day of the Spring Festival holiday, there will be traffic jams on February 10 (the sixth day of the first month) and 14:00- 19:00, especially on February 9 (the fifth day of the first month). I suggest you travel at the wrong peak.
It is estimated that after the Spring Festival, before the Lantern Festival, from February 6th 15: 00 to 18: 00, and from February 20th 15: 00 to 18: 00 after the Lantern Festival, there will be a small peak of return traffic congestion. In addition, during the period of Spring Festival travel rush, influenced by the tradition of visiting relatives and friends, it is expected that there will be a small congestion peak on February 6 (the second day of the first month)11:00-12: 00 to remind travelers to arrange their travel time reasonably and avoid the peak.
I. Weather analysis
The peak in Spring Festival travel rush starts at 65438+1 October 2 1 and ends at March1,including the beginning of the spring rain. According to the short-term climate trend forecast of the Provincial Meteorological Bureau, the average precipitation in 65438+ 10 is 7 ~ 9mm, which is more than normal 1 ~ 20%, and the average temperature in the whole province is-1.5~-0.5, which is more than normal (-1.6). In February, the province's average precipitation 10~ 12mm was close to normal (10.9mm), and the province's average temperature 1.0~2.0 was slightly higher than normal (1.3). Judging from the traffic accidents on peak roads in Spring Festival travel rush in recent four years, the traffic accidents on snowy days accounted for 29.72% of the whole year, which was 18.76 percentage points higher than the average level. During Spring Festival travel rush, snow, fog and other bad weather have a great impact on road traffic safety. This year, the overall temperature in Spring Festival travel rush is on the high side, with more precipitation. It is expected that severe weather such as rain, snow and smog will occur frequently, and road traffic safety risks will become more prominent.
Second, the analysis of road traffic flow law
(2) Analysis of traffic flow characteristics
Judging from the peak situation in Spring Festival travel rush in recent four years, the total traffic of expressways in our province is increasing year by year. From 20 15 to 20 15 years, the transportation volume reached 565160,000, 6337 10/00,000, 727.75 million and 80.008 million respectively, with year-on-year growth of 12 and 5438+03. It is estimated that this year's traffic volume will increase by about 10% year-on-year, reaching about 88.088 million trips.
(2) According to the statistics of traffic volume of Spring Festival travel rush peak toll stations in recent three years, it is estimated that the toll stations with large traffic volume in Spring Festival travel rush are Qingdao West Railway Station, Licun Station, Qingdao East Railway Station, Bay Bridge, Jinan West Railway Station, Tianqiao Station, Jinan Airport Station, Yantai Fushan Station, Wurong Road North Station and Jingtai Road A Station.
Third, analysis of traffic congestion law
(1) According to the statistics of the congestion of Spring Festival travel rush Peak Expressway in previous years, it is expected to slow down slightly around the New Year. Before the end of the Spring Festival holiday, there will be a small return peak.
February 10 (the sixth day of the first month) Qingdao Expressway has the highest degree of congestion, and the expressways that are prone to congestion and slow down are:
G20 1 1 qingxin expressway, G22 qinglan expressway, G 15 shenhai expressway, JIAOZHOU bay bridge.