China Naming Network - Almanac query - What is the winning rate of new shares?

What is the winning rate of new shares?

On the first day of IPO listing, there is a high probability of rising, and the change of new rules makes more and more investors keen on IPO subscription. Investors need to draw lots to get the bonus of new shares. Those with high winning percentage are worried about breaking the contract, while those with low winning percentage are worried about not winning. What is the winning rate of new shares? Is the lower the success rate of new shares, the greater the increase?

What is the winning rate of new shares?

The formula for calculating the winning rate of new shares is: the number of issued shares/the number of effectively subscribed shares * 100%, which shows that the winning rate of new shares is related to the number of new shares issued, the number of new players and the whole stock market. Generally, the larger the issuance scale, the higher the winning rate, which is one of the reasons for the high winning rate of many small-cap stocks.

On the whole, the current winning rate of new shares is generally between 0.04% and 0.05%, and more than 0.06% is considered as the high-priced winning rate. For example, Zheshang Bank opened its subscription for new shares in June 165438+ 10.

Does the lower the winning rate of new shares increase more?

There is no absolute relationship between the winning rate and the first-day increase of new shares, but from the historical data, new shares with low winning rate generally perform better after listing. So it can also be understood that the lower the success rate of new shares, the greater the increase.

There is a positive correlation between the winning rate and the breaking probability of new shares. The higher the winning rate, the greater the possibility of breaking new shares.

The high success rate of new shares is largely related to the low attention of new shares and the lack of market confidence. Investors can focus on some new shares with high enthusiasm for market participation.

For retail investors, the probability of winning new shares with low winning rate will be lower, and we can focus on improving the winning rate skills, such as rationally allocating the stock market value and grasping the purchase opportunity.