Official refutation of rumors: This year will be the coolest year in the next 10 years. How accurate is the weather forecast?

Everyone must have a love-hate relationship with weather forecasts, because weather forecasts are sometimes very accurate and everyone can prepare and take precautions in time, but sometimes the weather forecast information is not completely accurate, and Officials have publicly rumored that this year will not be the coolest year in the next ten years, and based on this information, the official has not provided any data, so this is a rumor. So how accurate is the weather forecast? In fact, the accuracy of weather forecasts completely depends on weather changes and various data. Generally speaking, according to the level of modern science and technology and various data analysis conditions, the accuracy of weather forecasts can reach more than 80%. If If you pay close attention to the weather forecast in the past few days, the accuracy may reach more than 90%. If you directly understand the weather a week later, the normal accuracy can reach about 60%. Therefore, according to these official data and what everyone knows, in general, the accuracy of weather forecasts is very high, but for this percentage data, as long as it is not completely close to 100%, then there is a certain The possibility of change, the change of weather is not controlled by humans, so under any circumstances, the weather may undergo extreme changes, so the accuracy of weather forecast will not reach 100%. Because it is very difficult to achieve more accurate predictions, it may be necessary to increase the value of any data exponentially before the accuracy can be improved again. However, such data is already very large and requires more than just high precision. The technology also requires professional talents. Therefore, the accuracy of weather forecast is very accurate for the weather within 24 hours or 48 hours, and it can be completely relied on. Although sometimes the weather will change, this situation is already a group weather, even if Even a completely accurate weather forecast cannot predict this kind of weather, because sometimes experience is needed to make judgments, so the accuracy of weather forecasts can reach about 90% in a short period of time.