Weather in Yushan District, Maanshan City, Anhui Province
It is understood that corn prices have been rising in many places in China recently, especially in Shandong. At present, most of the purchase prices have exceeded 1.4 yuan, and the highest purchase price is close to 1.6 yuan. So, can the corn price in the future break through 1.6 yuan? What is the price of corn in 65438+February? The following small series will tell you in detail, and growers who want to know can take a closer look.
What's the price of corn now?
At present, the price of corn in the market varies due to various factors. It is understood that the current corn price in Gaocheng District, Shijiazhuang City, Hebei Province is 0.73 yuan/kg; 0.8 yuan/kg of corn in Yongnian District, Handan City, Hebei Province; Yuhang District, Hangzhou City, Zhejiang Province 1.5 yuan/kg; Longwen district corn in Zhangzhou City, Fujian Province 1 yuan/kg; Corn 1.4 yuan/kg in Jian 'ou City, Nanping City, Fujian Province; Corn 1.25 yuan/kg in Tongxu County, Kaifeng City, Henan Province; Yongcheng city, Shangqiu City, Henan Province, 0.9 yuan/kg of corn; Corn 1.2 yuan/kg in Gongan County, Jingzhou City, Hubei Province; 0.9 yuan/kg of corn in Hengzhou City, Nanning City, Guangxi; Corn 1.55 yuan/kg in Rongan County, Liuzhou City, Guangxi Province; Corn in Hepu County, Beihai City, Guangxi is 0.95 yuan/kg; Corn 1.2 yuan/kg in Miyi County, Panzhihua City, Sichuan Province; 0.9 yuan/kg of corn in Qixingguan District, Bijie City, Guizhou Province; Corn in Mile City, Honghe Hani and Yi Autonomous Prefecture, Yunnan Province is 0.75 yuan/kg; Corn in Ninghe District of Tianjin is 0.89 yuan/kg; Congtai district corn 1. 15 yuan/kg; 0.7 yuan, Linzhang County, Handan City, Hebei Province/kg of corn -65438+ 0.2 yuan, Cheng 'an County, Handan City, Hebei Province/kg of corn; Corn 1.03 yuan/kg in Yongnian District, Handan City, Hebei Province; Corn 1.3 yuan/kg in Anci District, Langfang City, Hebei Province; Corn in Qixian County, Jinzhong City, Shanxi Province is 0.88 yuan/kg; Corn 1.25 yuan/kg in Jiujiang District, Wuhu City, Anhui Province; Corn 1.4 yuan/kg in Yushan District, Maanshan City, Anhui Province.
Remarks: The corn quotations in the above producing areas are all from Huinong. The origin of com, not the retail price of the market, is for reference only, subject to the latest local real-time quotation!
Can the price of corn exceed 1.6 yuan per catty?
Since the beginning of this year, domestic corn prices have been rising, and the overall trend is to stabilize first and then rise. In recent days, the price of corn in Shandong has been rising. At present, most of the purchase prices have exceeded 1.4 yuan, and the highest purchase price is close to 1.6 yuan. As far as the current situation is concerned, it is very likely to break through 1.6 yuan Jin in the later period, mainly for the following reasons:
1, affected by the international epidemic.
Due to the epidemic situation in many countries, at least 13 countries have restricted grain export plans, which has seriously affected the import quantity of corn and corn substitutes, which will also have a certain impact on the price of corn in China.
Corn is a main feed with a wide range of uses. Many countries have great demand for it, so the price naturally rises.
Food prices are rising all over the world, and food security is threatened. If the global food price rises, the food price in China will inevitably rise.
2, corn production reduction
This year, the climate in many corn planting areas is not good, especially in the Huang-Huai-Hai area. For many years, there have been no natural disasters and diseases such as high temperature and heat damage, drought and bacterial wilt, and the corn yield has been greatly reduced. In addition, due to the lack of rain and light during grain filling, the corn yield in East China and North China declined.
Corn production has decreased, but people's demand has not decreased, and prices have also increased.
3. The breeding cost is high.
Since the beginning of this year, the prices of seeds, fertilizers, pesticides, manual and machine harvesting have also risen sharply, and the cost of breeding has increased significantly, and the price of corn has also increased.
4. The recovery time of pig industry is short.
Because corn is the main feed material for pigs, the shorter the recovery time of pig industry, the greater the demand for it by farmers.
Secondly, the sharp rise in pork prices will also promote the rapid recovery and growth of aquaculture, thus pushing up the price of corn.
Trend analysis of the latest corn price at 1 1.
Since June 165438+ 10, China's new season corn has been fully listed. Due to the influence of rainfall and epidemic situation in some areas, the transportation difficulty of corn in producing areas has also increased a lot, and the freight rate has naturally increased. In addition, major grain merchants are generally optimistic about the market outlook, the available grain sources in the domestic corn market have declined, the arrival of corn in ports and deep processing enterprises is low, and the demand for downstream feed is strong. In order to stimulate the arrival port and deep processing enterprises to slightly increase the purchase price of corn and drive domestic corn.
Corn price forecast in 65438+February
In June+February, 5438, a large number of corn from North China will be listed, and port corn will also be listed. It is predicted that corn prices in some areas may be adjusted back in June 5438+February.
At present, it is mainly climate factors and masks that hinder the transportation and marketing of corn and increase the price. When the weather is fine and the roads are smooth, deep processing enterprises will buy corn at a lower price. Therefore, 165438+ 10 is a good season for corn sales, and the price will rise even faster. Farmers in stock suggest giving up reluctant sales and leaving the bags for safety reasons.
From the above, we can know that the price of corn varies greatly from place to place, and its price will be affected by factors such as quality, climate and demand.
As far as the current situation is concerned, the price of corn in the later period is likely to exceed 1.6 yuan per catty, which is closely related to the impact of international epidemic situation, rainfall in some areas and corn yield reduction.
However, with the large-scale listing of corn in North China in June 5438+February, it is expected that corn prices in some areas will be adjusted back, but the demand for corn will increase at the end of the year, so the possibility of continuous decline in corn prices is still small, and farmers can seize the opportunity to sell corn.